It really doesn’t seem like a whole year went by since the Golden Globes announced their nominees last year. One thing is pretty clear, though. With ten Oscar nominees for Best Picture it isn’t hard to find match-ups in the drama category from the Globes. Last year and the year before, in fact, all five drama nominees went on to be nominated for the Oscar. But before that, it was harder to get a perfect five in drama. THere were always one or two, sometimes three that got the Globe nod but didn’t go on to get an Oscar nod. As of tomorrow morning we will have three large-ish groups to compare Best Picture – the BFCA, the SAG and the Globe. I’d like to throw in the AFI but their selection committee is so small it’s hard to count them.
By the numbers — the BFCA is around 200, or thereabouts. The Globe are around 100, or thereabouts. SAG is bigger, at 2100. The things they have in common is that they all pick acting nominations. The BFCA and the Globe also pick director, screenplay and picture — but we also have the Producers Guild, the Writers Guild and the Directors Guild coming up to really put the contenders in perspective. Up to now, we’ve mostly been dealing with critics. Last year’s results very nearly knocked the critics out of the picture completely. I get the feeling this year they mean a lot less than they ever have since I’ve been watching Oscar, going on 13 years now.
Still, the other big thing the Critics Choice, the SAG and the Globes have in common is that their award show is televised. Of these. the SAGs and the Globes are watched way more than the Critics Choice, but still, any time you have a camera op you have your best chance to get a leg up on the other contenders, should you get a turn at the mic. There are ways to play them well (Kate Winslet, Meryl Streep) and ways to bomb out (Jim Cameron, Jason Reitman). It’s horrible to have to admit these things about human nature but the fact of it is this: when voters bestow upon you their award they expect gratitude, humility, or if you can’t muster any of those things be funny, really funny. It doesn’t always win you the Oscar, being great at the mic, but it can derail your chances. The last you want to be is annoyed, arrogant, entitled, indifferent. There are a few people to whom this simply does not apply: Joel and Ethan Coen who could basically take a joint crap on stage and it wouldn’t matter, Woody Allen, Daniel Day Lewis, etc. But most performers or filmmakers aren’t anywhere near that level. Even someone like Sally Field back in the day, or Jodie Foster had to basically grovel. It is like when you are visiting a native village and the peoples offer you their most deeply felt traditional foods — even if it’s eyeballs soaked in rabbit entrails you have to be grateful, humbled and appreciative.
So, the Globes, the Critics Choice, the SAGs are all places to do that. You want people to want you to win. Otherwise, you waste everyone’s time. At any rate, how do we think the Globes are going to shake down this year? To tell you the truth, I have no clue. This year, the awards have been all over the map. There is no there there. We can be sure of a few things, though. Bridesmaids will be on the comedy list. War Horse, Loud and Close, Moneyball, Hugo will be in drama, I figure.
So herewith, my predictions that I fully expect to be wrong. I can only go with what I know, of course.
Best Picture – Drama
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Hugo
Moneyball
War Horse
The Descendants
Alt. Tree of Life
Best Picture – Comedy
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
Crazy Stupid Love
My Week with Marilyn
Alt. Footloose
Actor – Drama
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
George Clooney, The Descendants
Gary Oldman, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Leo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Woody Harrelson, Rampart
Alt. Michael Fassbender, Shame
Actor – Comedy
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Steve Carrel, Crazy Stupid Love
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
Ewan McGregor, Beginners
Johnny Depp, Pirates
Actress – Drama
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Viola Davis, The Help
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Alt. Ellen Barkin, Another Happy Day
Actress – Comedy
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Emma Stone, Crazy Stupid Love
Julia Roberts, Larry Crowne
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Supporting actor–
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Albert Brooks, Drive
Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Alt: Patton Oswalt, Young Adult
Supporting Actress–
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Bernice Bejo, The Artist
alt. Sandra Bullock, Loud and Close
Screenplay
Moneyball
The Descendants
Extremely Loud
The Artist
Midnight in Paris
Director
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Steven Spielberg, War Horse
Terrence Malick, Tree of Life
Clint Eastwood, J. Edgar
That’s as far as I’m going to take it. And you?
Blooper, mixed up Ben Whishaw with Eddie Redmayne for lead actor in a comedy or musical for My Week with Marilyn. (Haven’t seen the movie yet, that’s why.)
To be honest im so sick of overrated Swinton, doing the same Swinton thing over and over, don’t get the hype about her, sticking so hard for nominations ,they are at least 3 other actresses who could take her place who gave an outstanding performances that year, hopefully i will not see her overrated self at the oscars! )
My prediction wins:
Best picture drama: Tree of Life
Best picture Comedy: The Artist
Best screen play: Young Adult
Actress drama: Davis/Streep
Actress Comedy: Charlize Theron
Actor drama: Fassbender/Oldman
Actor Comedy: Jean Dujardin
Sup actor: Oswalt/Brooks
Sup actress: Spencer
Best director: Michel Hazanavicius
still hope for someone from Margin call & Dangerous method
The real dark horse (and it seems only few people are noticing) is Demian Bichir. I’m sure he’s gonna get a nod at the Golden Globes and, if that happens, he will be a strong candidate to an Oscar’s nod.
Here are my Golden Globe predictions…
Best Motion Picture-Drama
The Descendants
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
War Horse
Best Motion Picture-Musical/Comedy
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
My Week with Marilyn
The Muppets
Best Actor-Motion Picture (Drama)
George Clooney = The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio = J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender = Shame
Gary Oldman = Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt = Moneyball
Best Actress-Motion Picture (Drama)
Glenn Close = Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis = The Help
Kirsten Dunst = Melancholia
Meryl Streep = The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton = We Need to Talk about Kevin
Best Actor-Motion Picture (Musical/Comedy)
Matt Damon = We Bought a Zoo
Jean Dujardin = The Artist
Paul Giamatti = Win Win
Joseph Gordon-Levitt = 50/50
Owen Wilson = Midnight in Paris
Best Actress-Motion Picture (Musical/Comedy)
Scarlett Johansson = We Bought a Zoo
Julia Roberts = Larry Crowne
Charlize Theron = Young Adult
Kristen Wiig = Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams = My Week with Marilyn
Best Supporting Actor (Motion Picture)
Kenneth Branagh = My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks = Drive
Armie Hammer = J. Edgar
Nick Nolte = Warrior
Christopher Plummer = Beginners
Best Supporting Actress (Motion Picture)
Berenice Bejo = The Artist
Jessica Chastain = The Help
Melissa McCarthy = Bridesmaids
Octavia Spencer = The Help
Shaileen Woodley = The Descendants
Best Director (Motion Picture)
Stephen Daldry = Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Michel Hazanavicius = The Artist
Alexander Payne = The Descendants
Martin Scorsese = Hugo
Steven Spielberg = War Horse
Best Screenplay (Motion Picture)
Michel Hazanavicius = The Artist
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash = The Descendants
Eric Roth = Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian = Moneyball
Richard Curtis and Lee Hall = War Horse
Best Original Score (Motion Picture)
Ludovic Bource = The Artist
Alexandre Desplat = Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Howard Shore = Hugo
John Williams = The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
John Williams = War Horse
Best Original Song (Motion Picture)
“Hello, Hello” = Gnomeo & Juliet
“The Living Proof” = The Help
“Life is a Happy Song” = The Muppets
“Man or Muppet” = The Muppets
“Masterpiece” = W.E.
Best Animated Feature Film
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
Arthur Christmas
Puss in Boots
Rango
Winnie the Pooh
Best Foreign Language Film
“In Darkness”
“Le Havre”
“The Skin I Live In”
“A Separation”
“Where Do We Go Now?”
Best Picture, Drama
The Help
Hugo
The Descendants
J. Edgar
The Tree of Life
Moneyball
Best Picture, Comedy or Musical
The Artist
Beginners
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
My Week with Marilyn
Rango
Best Director
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Steven Spielberg, War Horse
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Best Actor, Drama
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Woody Harrelson, Rampart
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Michael Shannon, Take Shelter
Best Actress, Drama
Viola Davis, The Help
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Best Actor, Comedy or Musical
Steve Carell, Crazy Stupid Love
Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Ewan McGregor, Beginners
Ben Whishaw, My Week with Marilyn
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
Best Actress, Comedy or Musical
Rachel McAdams, Midnight in Paris
Scarlett Johansson, We Bought a Zoo
Emma Stone, Crazy Stupid Love
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
Nick Nolte, Warior
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Best Screenplay
The Descendants — Alexander Payne
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close — Eric Roth
The Help — Tate Taylor
Hugo — John Logan
Midnight in Paris — Woody Allen
Moneyball — Aaron Sorkin; Steven Zaillian
Best Foreign Film
Le Havre, Finland
Mozart’s Sister, France
Mysteries of Lisbon, Portugal
Poetry, South Korea
A Separation, Iran
The Woman in the Septic Tank, Philippines
Best Animated Feature
The Adventures of Tintin
Happy Feet 2
Kung Fu Panda 2
The Muppets
Puss in Boots
Rango
Best Score
The Artist — Ludovic Bourse
Drive — Cliff Martinez
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo — Trent Reznor; Atticus Ross
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — Alexandre Desplat
Hugo — Howard Shore
Super 8 — Michael Giacchino
Best Song
“Bridge of Life,” Happy Feet 2
“Hello Hello,” Gnomeo & Juliet
“Life is a Happy Song,” The Muppets
“The Living Proof,” The Help
“Man or Muppet,” The Muppets
MOTION PICTURE DRAMA
• The Descendants
• Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
• The Help
• Hugo
• War Horse
ACTOR DRAMA
• George Clooney – The Descendants
• Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar
• Michael Fassbender – Shame
• Brad Pitt – Moneyball
• Gary Oldman – Tinker, Taylor, Soldier, Spy
ACTRESS DRAMA
• Glen Close – Albert Nobbs
• Viola Davis – The Help
• Kirsten Dunst – Melancholia
• Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
• Tilda Swinton – We Need to Talk About Kevin
MOTION PICTURE COMEDY
• The Artist
• Bridesmaids
• Midnight In Paris
• My Week With Marilyn
• Young Adult
ACTOR COMEDY
• Johnny Depp – The Rum Diary
• Jean Dujardin – The Artist
• Joseph Gordon Levitt – 50/50
• Ewan McGregor – Beginners
• Owen Wilson – Midnight In Paris
ACTRESS COMEDY
• Berenice Bejo – The Artist
• Julia Roberts – Larry Crowne
• Charlize Theron – Young Adult
• Kristen Wig – Bridesmaids
• Michele Williams – My Week With Marilyn
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
• Kenneth Branagh – My Week With Marilyn
• Albert Brooks – Drive
• Christopher Plummer – Beginners
• Nick Nolte – Warrior
• Max Von Sydow – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
• Sandra Bullock – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
• Jessica Chastain – The Help
• Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids
• Vanessa Redgrave – Coriolanus
• Octavia Spencer – The Help
DIRECTING
• Michael Hazanavicus – The Artist
• Alexander Payne – The Descendants
• Stephen Daldry – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
• Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
• Martin Scorcese – Hugo
• Steven Spielberg – War Horse
SCREENPLAY
• The Artist
• The Descendants
• Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
• Midnight In Paris
• Moneyball
SCORE
• The Artist
• Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
• The Girl With Dragon Tattoo
• Hugo
• War Horse
SONG
• Albert Nobbs
• Gnomeo and Juliet
• The Help
• The Muppets
• W.E.
The only prediction I can make is that I will be DEpressed at about 8:45am tomorrow morning. That’s pretty much a lock.
I hope to maybe get one pleasant surprise. Your prediction of Johnny Depp in comedy actor makes me kinda hope he could get in for The Rum Diary actually. I really liked that movie. It’d be nice if Ewan got in as well. I didn’t realize Beginners was a comedy though. I did see it. Is it because of the dog?
Of course I’d be pleased as punch if Warrior or Tom Hardy got anything. Gary Oldman has to get in here. Has to. And then TV people. Actually maybe Keira could make it in here. There’s room right? lol We need some foreigners. It is the HFPA after all. 🙂
Uhh where is 50/50 and JGL?
Check out Stu Vanairsdale’s HI-larious and invaluable Oscar Index at http://www.movieline.com
He’s got Jean Dujardin for Best Actor for “The Artist”. Ditto Michel H. for Best Director. Who woulda thunk it? And Queen Meryl rules over Best Actress as far as Stu’s concerned, and Octavia Spencer. I think both those won’t work out.
And Christopher Plummer is still ruling in BSA for “Beginners.”
Writing this is making me feel that NOTHING about Oscar Index is new this week, but that’s just at the top. It’s the MIDDLE and the BOTTOM that keep changing! Lolol…and Stu’s way of putting all this together is elucidating and eloquent and also did I say, funny?
“Has it occurred to anyone else that The Descendants may be voted in as a comedy? Same with The Help.”
The Descendants and The Help will for sure be in BP/Drama if they are nominated, not BP/Comedy. The people handling The Help tried to submit The Help for consideration in the BP/Comedy category (thinking there would be less competition) but were told the movie would be considered in the drama category.
For the last 2 years, the Globes got best drama picture right; 2009 they were the lone beacon of light in a Hurt Locker hurricane, and last year, they nailed the second-best choice (TSN; Inception would’ve been 1st choice). And they got it right last year with Burlesque in comedy/musical film. Showgirls, it wasn’t. But in a down year such as this, does it really matter who they pick? For a few of these films, this will be their Super Bowl.
No The Help in Best Picture? Seriously? lol
Best Picture (Drama)
* The Descendants
* Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
* The Help
* Hugo
* Moneyball
Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)
* The Muppets
* The Artist
* Bridesmaids
* Midnight in Paris
* Young Adult
Best Director
* Terrance Malick (The Tree of Life)
* Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
* Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
* Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
* Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Best Actor (Drama)
* George Clooney (The Descendants)
* Leo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
* Michael Fassbender (Shame)
* Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)
* Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
* Paul Giamatti (Win Win)
* Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
* Joseph Gordon-Levitt (50/50)
* Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo)
* Owen Wilson (Midnight in Paris)
Best Actress (Drama)
* Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
* Viola Davis (The Help)
* Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
* Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
* Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)
* Jodie Foster (Carnage)
* Amy Ryan (Win Win)
* Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
* Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids)
* Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
Best Supporting Actor
* Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
* Albert Brooks (Drive)
* Patton Oswalt (Young Adult)
* Max Von Sydow (Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close)
* Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Best Supporting Actress
* Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
* Jessica Chastain (The Help)
* Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
* Octavia Spencer (The Help)
* Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
Best Screenplay
* The Artist
* The Descendants
* Young Adult
* Midnight in Paris
* Moneyball
Best Original Score
* The Artist
* Drive
* Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
* Hanna
* War Horse
Best Best Animated Feature
* The Adventures of Tintin
* Arthur Christmas
* Puss in Boots
* Rango
* Chico & Rita
Best Foreign Language Feature
* A Separation (Iran)
* The Kid with a Bike (Belgium)
* The Skin I Live In (Spain)
* In The Land of Blood and Honey (USA?Bosnia)
* Le Havre (Finland/France)
I think it’s abundantly clear the Globes are make or break for Fassbender’s paper-thin hopes for an Oscar nomination. As well they should be. It’s too goddamn dark a subject, and there are those on the right that would have a field day at the further decline of Hollywood by recognizing an NC-17 movie in any fashion. But there are alternatives; the co-leads of Warrior (Hardy and Edgerton) say hi, for example.
Young Adult for best comedy dee duh dees!
Sasha,
what about Rooney Mara? I think this could be her best chance to snag a Best Actress nomination
NBC 8:30am EST, Today Show and E! usually air it live! Can’t wait!
Where can we watch it live?
I refuse to give up on behalf of Drive, so I’m still counting on its inclusion in several categories…
I’m going to have to watch The Artist, because I want to know what’s the big deal.
NGNG:
COMEDY FILM: Rango
COMEDY ACTRESS: Catherine Deneuve / POTICHE
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Scarlett Johansson / WE BOUGHT A ZOO
BEST COMEDY OR MUSICAL
The Artist
Beginners
Bridesmaids
Carnage
Midnight in Paris
BEST DRAMA
The Descendants
Drive
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
War Horse
BEST ACTOR COMEDY
Jean Dujardin/The Artist
Ryan Gosling/Crazy Stupid Love
Joseph Gordon Levitt/50-50
Owen Wilson/Midnight in Paris
Christoph Waltz/Carnage
BEST ACTRESS COMEDY
Jodie Foster/Carnage
Felicity Jones/Like Crazy
Charlize Theron/Young Adult
Kristen Wiig/Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams/My Week with Marilyn
BEST ACTOR DRAMA
Demian Bichir/A Better Life
George Clooney/The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio/J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender/Shame
Brad Pitt/Money Ball
BEST ACTRESS DRAMA
Glenn Close/Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis/The Help
Kirsten Dunst/Melancholia
Elizabeth Olsen/Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep/The Iron Lady
BEST DIRECTOR
Woody Allen/Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicious/The Artist
Terrence mallick/The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne/The Descendants
Martin Scorsese/Hugo
BEST SCREENPLAY
Bridesmaids
The Descendants
The Help
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Artist
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
War Horse
BEST SONG
Albert Nobbs
Bridesmaids
Captain America
The Help
The Muppets
BEST FOREIGN FILM
Le Havre
The Kid with a Bike
Miss Bala
Pina
A Separation
Looks pretty good Sasha, but I could definitely see them going for Gosling in Crazy Stupid Love instead of Carrell. Also I think the Muppets is definitely in for Comedy/Musical and will probably take a couple Original Song noms. I also would not be suprised to see Adams or Segel show up for Actor or Actress for it either (let’s remember how… odd they can be with Comedy/Musicals)
Just a heads up:
MERYL STREEP will be giving a rare television interview on 60 Minutes (for those of you in the US) this Sunday evening, December 18.
Such a long race….like Sasha is saying…..critics announce but they just start things off…..by the time this is over we could have gone from THE ARTIST (critics choice) all the way to EXTREMELY LOUD AND INCREDIBLY CLOSE –possible Oscar winner a la “recent but not too recent American Historical cathartic event processing that AMPAS goes through” theory I’ve been tossing around in my head and mentioned before—as far as I’m concerned, it happened with Platoon–was perhaps “too soon” for both Apocalypse Now and The Killing Fields–not including their respective competition each of those years.
Has it occurred to anyone else that The Descendants may be voted in as a comedy? Same with The Help. Also I remember there being more than 5 nominees on several different occasions for Picture. I get the feeling it might shake out that way again this year. If it does, this is what I think will happen:
Picture (Drama):
Moneyball
War Horse
Hugo
Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
The Tree Of Life
(Alt. The Ides Of March)
Picture (Musical/Comedy):
The Descendants
Midnight In Paris
The Help
Young Adult
The Artist
Bridesmaids
(Alt. The Muppets)
Actor (Drama):
Brad Pitt
Leonardo Dicaprio
Michael Fassbender
Gary Oldman
Ryan Gosling (Drive)
(Alt. Michael Shannon for Take Shelter)
Actress (Drama):
Meryl Streep
Michelle Williams
Tilda Swinton
Glenn Close
Elizabeth Olson
Actor (Musical/Comedy):
George Clooney
Jean Dujardin
Ryan Gosling (CSL)
Steve Carrell (also CSL)
Paul Giamatti (Win Win)
(Alt. Joseph Gordon-Levitt for 50/50)
Actress (Musical/Comedy):
Charlize Theron
Emma Stone
Kristen Wiig
Berenice Bejo
Viola Davis
(Alt. Kate Winslet for Carnage)
Sup. Actor:
Christopher Plummer
Brad Pitt (Tree Of Life)
Albert Brooks
Ben Kingsley (Hugo)
Andy Serkis
(Alt. Tom Hanks for Extremely Loud)
Sup. Actress:
Octavia Spencer
Melissa McCarthy
Shailene Woodley
Jessica Chastain
Vanessa Redgrave
(Alt. Carey Mulligan in Shame)
Any idea where we can watch the nominations tomorrow? Will the Today show have them on live?
Best Picture – Drama
The Descendants
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
The Ides of March
Moneyball
War Horse
(If only 5, take off EL&IC and The Ides of March)
Best Picture – Comedy/Musical
50/50
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Crazy, Stupid, Love.
Midnight in Paris
Best Director
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Stephen Spielberg, War Horse
Tate Taylor, The Help
Best Actor – Drama
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Best Actor – Comedy/Musical
Steve Carrell, Crazy, Stupid, Love.
Robert Downey, Jr., Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 50/50
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
Best Actress – Drama
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Best Actress – Comedy/Musical
Mila Kunis, Friends With Benefits
Julia Roberts, Larry Crowne
Emma Stone, Crazy, Stupid, Love.
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Ryan Gosling, Crazy, Stupid, Love.
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Best Supporting Actress
Sandra Bullock, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Best Screenplay
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash, The Descendants
Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo, Bridesmaids
Steve Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin, Moneyball
Best Animated Feature Film
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
Best Foreign Language Film
La Havre
In the Land of Blood and Honey
Mysteries of Lisbon
A Separation
The Skin I Live In
Best Original Score
Ludovic Bource, The Artist
Alexandre Desplat, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Howard Shore, Hugo
John Williams, War Horse
Best Original Song
“Hello, Hello,” Gnomeo and Juliet
“Life’s a Happy Song,” The Muppets
“The Living Proof,” The Help
“Man or Muppet,” The Muppets
“So Long,” Winnie the Pooh
I think ELIC should do very well here:
Best picture, best director, Tom Hanks, Sandra Bullock, Thomas Horn, screenplay …
6 noms …
Ooops, forgot to delete the last line “2007: Babel”. Ignore it. Wrong year, too. Forgot to delete it.
When you see the list of their Best Picture winners, it’s weird that King’s Speech DIDN’T win the Globe last year. They go for historical drama whenever they can. But maybe they just decided that it was time to get back to GUESSING the Oscar winner right. So they did. And then … it didn’t win the Oscar, haha…
Can they resist nomination Brad, Angelina AND Jennifer the same year? Last year was REALLY an OFF year for the GG, but sometimes they actually pull themselves together. A couple of years back, they actually had better nominations in some categories than the Oscars.
But ultimately, the Globes don’t matter anymore. Look at their Best Picture winners lately:
2010: The Social Network/The Kids Are All Right
2009: Avatar/The Hangover
2008: Slumdog Millionaire/Vicky Cristina Barcelona
2007: Atonement/Sweeney Todd
2006: Babel/Dreamgirls
2005: Brokeback Mountain/Walk the Line
2004: The Aviator/Sideways
So in the last 7 years, only ONE of the Best Picture GG winners went on to win the Oscar. That’s a REALLY bad track record, so whatever happens on Golden Globe night, there’s actually a bigger chance statistically of their Best Picture winner NOT winning the Oscar as well.
2007: Babel
Angelina (or even MADONNA) for Best Director is not unthinkable either. Madonna is not gonna happen, though, but Angie’s film has a lot of supporters out there, actually.
I could actually see Jennifer Aniston getting a Supporting Actress nomination here. The Globes have done worse…
Ditto for Cate Blanchett “Hanna”
GO MULLIGAN,DARLING, PLEASE!
Best Motion Picture – Drama
The Descendants
Hugo
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Moneyball
War Horse
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
My Week With Marilyn
Young Adult
Best Actor – Motion Picture Drama
George Clooney – The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender – Shame
Ryan Gosling – Drive
Brad Pitt – Moneyball
Best Actor – Motion Picture Musical or Comedy
Jean Dujardin – The Artist
Paul Giamatti – Win Win
Joseph Gordon-Levitt – 50/50
Ewan McGregor – Beginners
Owen Wilson – Midnight in Paris
Best Actress – Motion Picture Drama
Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis – The Help
Kirsten Dunst – Melancholia
Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton – We Need To Talk About Kevin
Best Actress – Motion Picture Musical or Comedy
Jodie Foster – Carnage
Charlize Theron – Young Adult
Kristin Wiig – Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams – My Week With Marilyn
Kate Winslet – Carnage
Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture
Kenneth Branagh – My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks – Drive
Armie Hammer – J. Edgar
Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life
Christopher Plummer – Beginners
Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture
Bérénice Bejo – The Artist
Jessica Chastain – The Help
Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids
Carey Mulligan – Shame
Octavia Spencer – The Help
Best Director
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne – The Descendants
Martin Scorsese – Hugo
Steven Spielberg – War Horse
Best Screenplay
The Artist – Michel Hazanvicius
The Descendants – Nat Faxon, Alexander Payne & Jim Rash
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close – Eric Roth
Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen
Moneyball – Aaron Sorkin & Steven Zaillian
Best Animated Feature Film
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Puss in Boots
Rango
Rio
Best Foreign Language Film
In The Land of Blood and Honey
The Kid With The Bike
A Separation
The Skin I Live In
Where Do We Go Now?
Best Original Score
The Adventures of Tintin – John Williams
The Artist – Ludovic Bource
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close – Alexandre Desplat
Hugo – Howard Shore
War Horse – John Williams
Best Original Song
Albert Nobbs – “Lay Your Head Down”
The Help – “The Living Proof”
Hugo – “Coeur Volant”
The Muppets – “Life’s a Happy Song”
The Muppets – “Pictures in My Head”
Multiple Nominations
5 Nominations – The Artist
4 Nominations – Hugo, The Descendants, The Help
3 Nominations – War Horse, Moneyball, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, Midnight in Paris, My Week With Marilyn, Bridesmaids
2 Nominations – The Tree of Life, Drive, Young Adult, J. Edgar, Beginners, The Adventures of Tintin, Albert Nobbs, The Muppets, Shame, Carnage
First time with the globes, here we go:
Picture – Drama
War Horse
The Descendants
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Help
Moneyball
Actor – Drama
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Gary Oldman, Tinker Taylor Soldier Spy
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Actress – Drama
Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin
Viola Davis, The Help
Picture – Comedy/Musical
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
The Muppets
My Week With Marilyn
Director:
Alexander Payne, por The Descendants
David Fincher, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Steven Spielberg, War Horse
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Actor – Comedy/Musical
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Johnny Depp, The Rum Diary
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 50/50
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
Paul Giamatti, Win Win
Actress – Comedy/Musical
Amy Adams, The Muppets
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Emma Stone, Crazy Stupid Love
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Supporting actor:
Albert Brooks, Drive
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Supporting actress:
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Screenplay:
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
Score:
The Artist
War Horse
Hugo
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Rango
Song:
The Muppets (“Life’s Happy Song ”)
The Muppets (“Man or Muppet”)
Gnomeu and Julieta (“Hello Hello”)
The Help (“The Living Proof”)
Rango (“Rango Theme Song”)
Foreign film:
Happy Happy
The Skin I Live in
Le Havre
Le Quattre Volte
The Separation
Animated Feature:
Tintim
Puss in Boots
Kung Fu Panda 2
Rango
Rio
i think Albert Brooks is going to get snubbed again. i dont know why.
Sasha is very right in that the voters are trying to separate themselves as much as possible from the critics. all they are doing by that though is showing that awards is more of a popularity contest now. it’s like last year they were snubbing the winner. this year they are snubbing deserving nominees. i know i’m being unfair and somewhat of a conspiring paranoid. but it just irks me to no end when sentimental safe-films steal the spotlight from the more deserving creative, unconventional game-changers.
Ahhhh!!! The Muppets for BEST COMEDY!! 🙂
Here are my potential shockers/surprises…not likely but given it’s the globes who knows
Best Comedy: 50/50…Beginners…and what about Carnage? It’s the foreign press…they may love Polanski? And if it gets nominated, one of the four actors will be nominated as well.
Best Actress Comedy: Melanie Laurent (Beginners)/Ellen Barkin (Another Happy Day)
Best Actor Comedy: Joseph Gordon Levit (50/50)
Best Supporing Actor: Kevin Spacey (Margin Call)
@ Casey Fiore
Jason Reitman made the mistake of coming off ungrateful. There was that smear campaign against Sheldon Turner, and in his acceptance speeches, he gave off an air of entitlement. Not what the son of a Hollywood director wants to do – he already seems entitled because of that.
I think Emma Stone MIGHT surprise in the Lead Actress category…drama !
Viola Davis
Meryl Streep
Glenn Close
Tilda Swinton
Emma Stone
When did Jason Reitman pull a Jim Cameron?
Best Drama Actor
Brad Pitt – Moneyball
Gary Oldman – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
George Clooney – The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar
Thomas Horn – Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
Best Comedy Actor
Ewan McGregor – Beginners
Jason Segel – The Muppets
Jean Dujardin – The Artist
Joseph Gordon Lewitt – 50/50
Owen Wilson – Midnight In Paris
Best Drama Actress
Kirsten Dunst – Melancholia
Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
Rooney Mara – Girl with The Dragon Tattoo
Tilda Swinton – We Need To Talk About Kevin
Viola Davis – The Help
Best Comedy Actress
Amy Adams – The Muppets
Berenice Bejo – The Artist
Charlize Theron – Young Adult
Michelle Williams – My Week With Marilyn
Kristin Wiig – Bridesmaids
Best Supporting Actor
Albert Brooks – Drive
Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life
Christopher Plummer – Beginners
Kenneth Branagh – My Week With Marilyn
Max von Sydow – Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
Best Supporting Actress
Jessica Chastain – The Tree of Life
Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids
Octavia Spencer – The Help
Sandra Bullock – Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
Vanessa Redgrave – Coriolanus
At what time will the nominations be announced?
sorry, had a total nerd moment. wish i could delete that comment.
yay! sasha listened to me and modified her list.
Few things:
1) Fassbender will be shortlisted. Did you forget he’s German and he’s been charming at least 2 dozen of German speaking voters?
2) Williams will win comedy/ musical race and face off with Meryl at Oscars.
3) Have a feeling Aniston will be up for Horrible Bosses (also Best Comedy Picture there). GG voters want her in the same room as Brand and Angelina.
4) Sasha, do you really think GG voters will resist giving second nod to Brad Pitt for Tree in favor of Kenneth Branagh?! Come on.
5) Speaking of…Angelina for Best Director. It could happen!
6) Bullock is not ALT here. She’s in.
7) The Muppets movie will make it in before Pirates or Crazy Stupid Love. Really, Sasha?
8) I’m predicting 7 Best Director nominees this year.
9) Sadly, think Tilda might be favored for Olsen or Dunst. Maybe Close too, though I don’t know anyone who seen her film.
10) BONKERS PREDICTION: Carla Bruni in BSA
Globes always have a shock or two. I could see Tom Hanks being nominated for Extremely Loud if they loved the movie.
Actually did not mean to put Hugo in Screenplay. Substitute Midnight in Paris instead. That’s a sure thing.
Picture (Drama): The Descendants/The Help/Hugo/Extremely Loud/War Horse
Picture (Musical/Comedy): The Artist, Beginners, Bridesmaids, Midnight in Paris, Young Adult
Actor (Drama): Clooney, DiCaprio, Fassbender, Gosling (Drive), Pitt
Actress (Drama): Close, Davis, Mara, Streep, Swinton
Actor (Musical/Comedy): Dujardin, Gordon-Levitt, Gosling (Crazy, Stupid, Love), McGregor, Owen Wilson
Actress (Musical/Comedy): Bejo (I just have a feeling she will be pushed lead, like Marion Cotillard in Nine and Catherine Zeta-Jones in Chicago), Diaz, Theron, Wiig, Williams
Supporting Actor: Branagh, Brooks, Pitt (Tree of Life), Plummer, Von Sydow
Supporting Actress: Bullock, Chastain (The Help), McCarthy, Redgrave, Spencer
Director: Hazanavicus (Artist), Daldry (Extremely Loud), Scorsese (Hugo), Payne (Descendants), Spielberg (War Horse)
Screenplay: The Artist, The Descendants, Hugo, Moneyball, Young Adult
Kristin Wiig is so getting nominated here–no chance in hell at Oscars, but equally as funny as McCarthy (McCarthy has the benefit of being supporting).
I don’t care. I hope it’s a massive list of people perfect for Ricky Gervais to rip apart one by one. Hooray! He could start by ripping apart the SAG. Not happy. Silly actors.
Or Jennifer Aniston for Horrible Bosses? That’s a stretch maybe.
Thing*
One slam dunk is Theron for comedy. Who else I’m not sure. Not a great year for comedies for the women…maybe Cameron Diaz for Bad Teacher? I could see that.
Others from yours…
– I think GG love Ryan Gosling. He will get double nominations for Drive in Drama and Crazy Stupid Love in Comedy.
– The Help will be strong on Best Picture Drama.
– In Actress Comedy will get someone in cast of Midnight in Paris and for sure Charlize Theron from Young Adualt.
– Bernice Bejo may be nominated in Best Actress Comedy.
– If Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close gets best picture drama nominee, Stephen Daldry will get nominated for Best Director.
– Alexander Payne from The Descendants will get nominated in Best Director.
The think about the SAG though is they do not have a best picture category. best ensemble is the closest thing but it isn’t Best picture.
and Mulligan in supporting!
Charlize will be nominated! Well, i hope that
i have a feeling michelle williams will end up in the musical/comedy category. perhaps viola davis too. which would open up spots for elisabeth olsen and maybe even rooney mara in the drama category.
and you forgot charlize theron in the comedy category.
One of those Actress noms in comedy has to be Charlize, no?