Well, as Iggy Pop would say, it will all be over soon. There are so many weird surprises that could take place tomorrow since all of the nominations came after Oscar ballots were turned in. BAFTA did their voting completely differently this year and for the first time ever we’re making our nominations for the editing category without the Ace Eddie nominations!
Honestly, though, this year? It’s one long No Guts, No Glory since none of us has a clue how this will turn out. But that’s what kind of great about it. We’re all going to forgive one another if any stupid mistakes are made. It’s been a great year, dear readers.
To that end, please pick three potential upsets. Here are mine:
1. Benh Zeitlin for Best Director
2. One major film will be left off the Best Picture nominees list that will horrify all involved.
2. The Impossible gets a surprise Best Picture nomination
3. There will only be five Best Picture nominees.
Your turn.
Certainly an Oscar list full of surprises. No Tarantino or Afleck in the Best Director list. Jakie Weaver appearing in Supporting Actress.
I am thrilled that The Pirates! has been nominated for Best Animated Feature. The funniest movie I saw in 2012. Congratulations to Ardman. And no one was tipping it.
Les Miserables has no Best Director or Best Screenplay nomination, so it has almost no chance of winning Best Film
For a uniquely British perspective on the nominations and awards season, check out my blog at
http://britishfilms.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/british-nominees-at-academy-awards.html
Congrats Sasha. You just got one of your No Guts No Glory guesses correct, and it happened to be in a category that was probably the MOST potential upset. Shit just DID get real.
“Django” does a triple whammy in Supporting Actor.
“The Hobbit” gets more love than people have been giving it credit for.
Jackman or Phoenix (or both) get snuffed in favor of an out of left-field nomination…like Matthew McConaughey in “Killer Joe” or even Richard Gere.
“The Cabin in the Woods” gets a Best Original Screenplay nod.
“Looper” gets a Best Original Screenplay nod.
Both Dwight Henry and Matthew McConaughey make it into Best Supporting Actor
Naomi Watts snubbed
Both Emayatzy Corinealdi and Quvenzhane Wallis make it into Best Actress
I said it for the DGA but it happened at the BAFTAs:
Spielberg not nominated for Best Director.
It could happen here too.
unlikely hood
Busted 🙂 I had all these conspiracy theories ready to go days ago 🙂
Best Picture Shockers:
1. The Intouchables
2. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
3. The Hobbit
Ewan McGregor nominated for The Impossible
Anne Hathaway snubbed
Best Exotic Marigold Hotel has a much better showing than any were expecting with some major nominations
OT
Does anyone think that Alec Baldwin actually can win 7 SAGs in a row?
1. Ben Affleck for Best Actor
2. Keira Knightley for Best Actress
3. Spielberg NOT nominated for Best Director
1) Jack Black for best actor for Bernie
2) Emily Blunt, best supporting actress for Looper
3) Dwight Henry, best supporting actor, Beasts of the Southern Wild
I vote for Mattoc’s surprises!
(Where’s that EDIT button?)
Okay, about Leo Dicaprio. He and Chris Waltz were the BEST things about Django and ran circles around the main character, Jamie Foxx. Very big possibility Leo gets the nom AND the award, just BECAUSE….but to me, he needs to age some. He’s turning into Tom Cruise, the little Dorian Gray actor….and everytime I see him, I can’t believe his role because he looks like he’s 20 years old….playing a man who’s in his mid-30s & 40s. AGE DAMMIT!
Thanks Koles!
I agree with Sasha – Benh Zeitlin for Best Director and — I might add — Dwight Henry for Best Supporting. Remember, he won the LA Critics award! I saw BOTSW again and he was reallyyyy good in that movie, for a first time actor.
I don’t think Q. Wallis will get in, but wouldn’t it be sweet if they gave her that special Juvenile award ala Mickey Rooney? I see Flight in there somewhere — either best screenplay, or Denzel Washington best actor.
I
– Skyfall gets in for Best Picture
– Django Unchained misses out on both Best Picture and Best Director
– Jennifer Lawrence gets a Best Actress nod… for The Hunger Games
@Gez
in an hour
How long from now will the noms be announced?
I hate bets, that’s why I never post any on these. But I can say that the only upset, for me anyway, would be not hear DDL’s name being called. Although a lock, I cannot help but to hold my breath…
Thanks for the fun of reading you all! See you soon.
Hugh Jackman snub
Ezra Miller gets in for supporting
Janusz Kaminski does not get nominated for Lincoln
Marion and Riva both get in for Best Actress;
Matthew, Eddie R. and Javier are nominated for Best Supporting Actor (knocking out DeNiro and Arkin); the other two are Philip and TL Jones; no nominations for Django Unchained;
Amy Adams is snubbed in favor of Nicole Kidman 🙂
NGNG
1. Amour for Picture and Director
2. Jean-Louis Trintignant for Lead Actor
3. Philip Seymour Hoffman for Lead Actor
Speilberg or Lee are snubbed for director
Dowd gets in for Supporting Actress
One black in every acting category: Washington, Wallis, Jackson, Washington
Skyfall for Best Picture
Beast for Direction, Screenplay and Score for its director
No Hugh Jackson or Bradley Cooper
– Cotillard AND Riva for Best Actress
– Haneke for Best Director
– No nod for Matthew McConaughey
1: Total Django Unchained supporting actor snub
2: Haneke in Best Director
3: Skyfall gets 7 nominations – song, editing, song, cinematography, sound mix, supporting actor, best picture
– Only Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Lawrence are nominated for Best Actress from SAG’s list. None of the other three are nominated for the SAG.
– Life of Pi leads re: nomination count
– Amour, Beasts of the Southern Wild and The Master are all nominated for Best Picture
Jackman snubbed
Dowd in
zero dark thirty score
The Intouchables – director or screenplay
Skyfall – not nominated for song
The Dark Knight Rises – best picture
#OSCARS My The 85th Annual Academy Awards Nominations Prediction:
Best Picture
Argo
Beasts Of The Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Best Director
Ben Affleck “Argo”
Kathryn Bigelow “Zero Dark Thirty”
Tom Hooper “Les Miserables”
Steven Spielberg “Lincoln”
Ang Lee “Life of Pi”
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper “Silver Linings Playbook”
Daniel Day-Lewis “Lincoln”
John Hawkes “The Sessions”
Hugh Jackman “Les Miserables”
Denzel Washington “Flight”
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain “Zero Dark Thirty”
Marion Cotillard “Rust & Bone”
Jennifer Lawrence “Silver Linings Playbook”
Helen Mirren “Hitchcock”
Emmanuelle Riva “Amour”
Best Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin “Argo”
Robert DeNiro “Silver Linings Playbook”
Leonardo DiCaprio “Django Unchained”
Philip Seymour Hoffman “The Master”
Tommy Lee Jones “Lincoln”
Best Supporting Actress
Nicole Kidman “The Paperboy”
Sally Field “Lincoln”
Anne Hathaway “Les Miserables”
Helen Hunt “The Sessions”
Maggie Smith “The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel”
Best Adapted Screenplay
Argo
The Perks of a Being Wallflower
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Best Original Screenplay
Amour
Django Unchained
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty
Best Animated Feature
Brave
Frankenweenie
Rise of the Guardians
ParaNorman
Wreck-It Ralph
Best Documentary Feature
Bully
The Gatekeepers
How To Survive a Plague
Searching for Sugar Man
The Imposter
Best Foreign Language Film
Amour (Austria)
The Intouchables (France)
War Witch (Canada)
No (Chile)
A Royal Affair (Denmark)
Best Cinematography
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
Best Film Editing
Argo
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Life Of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty
Best Production Design
Anna Karenina
The Hobbit
Les Miserables
Lincoln
The Master
Best Costume Design
Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Mirror Mirror
Best Makeup and Hair
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Lincoln
Les Miserables
Best Original Score
Anna Karenina
Argo
Beasts of The Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Best Original Song
Brave- Touch The Sky
Life of Pi- Pi Lullaby
Les Miserables – Suddenly
Django Unchained – What did that to you
Skyfall – Skyfall
Best Sound Mixing
The Dark Knight Rises
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
Best Sound Editing
The Avengers
The Dark Knight Rises
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
Best Visual Effects
The Avengers
The Dark Knight Rises
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Nominations for the 85th Annual Academy Awards® will be announced by the show’s host, Seth McFarlane & Emma Stone on Thursday Jan.10 at 5.30am PT & 7.00pm IST
So, the usual would be:
– SLP shows up in all acting categories
– Les Mis only nominated for BSA, costume design, art direction and song
– Denzel being snubbed
And to follow mattoc’s, let’s say NLNL (No Laugh, No Life) picks, mine would be:
– One of the aurochs gets nominated for BSA, but gets eaten by his fellow nominee Richard Parker while being on the red carpet
– Loki doesn’t get nominated for BSA and therefore burns down the Dolby Theatre, right after all sat down
– Hollywood dies out, people’s lives become miserable all over the world, an epidemic plague breaks out, people are tearing each other apart, the world ends on December 31st, 2013
1) Beyond the Hills for Best Foreign Language
2) Ann Dowd for Best Supporting Actress
3) This is Not a Film for Best Doc over How To Survive a Plague and The Imposter
Amour sneaks into Best Picture.
The Impossible sneaks into Best Picture.
Paul Thomas Anderson gets Best Director.
1. Nicole Kidman for Supporting Actress
2. Matthew Mcconaughy for Supporting Actor
3. Javier Bardem for Supporting Actor
4. Complete shut out for The Master and Beast
5. Skyfall for Best Pic
6. Leo DiCaprio for Supporting Actor
7. Perks for being a Wallflower for Adapted Screenplay
8. Looper for Original Screenplay
9. Keira Knightley for Best Actress
10. Richard Gere for Best Actor
11. Adele for Orignal Song
1. Silver Linings Playbook to become the first film since Reds in 1981 to receive acting nominations in all four acting categories.
2. Lincoln to receive 15 Oscar nominations.
3. Joaquin Phoenix to get a Best Actor nomination.
My 3 upsets:
1-Les Miserables for best pic/ director
2-Hobbit not for the best pic
3-Django not for the best pic
The Impossible becomes a major player – Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor(s) ………. with a shit load of techinical nods!!!!!
No nomination for Jennifer Lawrence.
NGNG:
The Impossible for BP
Anna Karenina gets several nominations (not just the assumed one for costume design)
Tom Holland for BSA
Suraj Sharma for best actor
Skyfall for Best picture
no noms for Beasts of the southern wild
All 5 directing nominees have never won the category previously (ie: Affleck / Russell / Haneke / Tarantino / one of the Andersons or Nolan)
Mark Wahlberg, Best Actor for Ted
Younger, relatively unknown nominees for Best Actress (ie: Cardellini for Return, Corinealdi for Middle of Nowhere, Lynskey for Hello I Must Be Going, Winstead for Smashed)
The opposite – older, big name nominees for Best Actress (ie: Dench for Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, Mirren for Hitchcock, Smith for Quartet, Streep for Hope Springs)
Mark Ruffalo, Best Supporting Actor for The Avengers
Perks of Being a Wallflower shuts Life of Pi out of Adapted Screenplay
Original Screenplay gets extended to 6 nominees to include Looper
Rick Ross gets an Original Song nod for 100 Black Coffins from Django Unchained, showing that there’s more to him than just 2 massively-sized man boobs
Liam Neeson gets an honorary Oscar for having “a very particular set of skills, skills he has acquired over a very long career, skills that make him a nightmare for people like you.”
Seth MacFarlane hams it up bright and early at the nomination announcements.
1. Skyfall gets best picture nomination
2. Dwight Henry gets best supporting actor for Beasts of the Southern Wild
3. The Deep gets nominated as best foreign language film
1. Judi Dench is nominated, either for Actress (Marigold Hotel) or Supporting (Skyfall)
2. Quvenzhane Wallis is snubbed
3. Samuel L. Jackson gets a supporting actor nom for Django Unchained
1. Skyfall gets nominated for Best Picture
2. Dowd gets nominated for Best Supporting Actress
3. Lavant gets nominated for Best Actor
1. Anna Karenina gets in for Best Picture
2. The Master gets completely shut out
3. Wes Anderson gets a Best Director nomination
The Hunger Games = 2 + noms
TDKR is nowhere to be found
Skyfall soars with 5 + noms
1. A legendary director gets rightfully snubed by his peers for his overrated movie –> Sasha burns down the Academy and blogs the ceremony from jail
2. T. Hooper gets a directing nom instead and Les Mis also snags a surprise writing nom
3. T. Holland and E. McGregor score acting noms for The Impossible in addition to N. Watts
1. Cabin In The Woods screenplay gets in.
2. Bill Murray gets in for Hyde Park On Hudson
3. Looper gets in for Best Picture, not only because it’s awesome, but also because of its proximity to Lincoln in the drop down menu of the online voting system.
Riva and Wallis both made it to actress.
Don’t know if these count as big enough surprises or not, but whatever:
-In Best Original Song, despite everyone predicting “Learn Me Right,” the more prominent “Touch the Sky” is nominated.
-Also in Original Song, the far more narratively appropriate “100 Black Coffins” and/or “Freedom” get in instead of “Ancora Qui” which everyone is predicting.
-The Intouchables shockingly misses in Foreign Language Film. Subsequently, Harvey Weinstein’s head explodes.
I just watched Argo and in comparison to the other supporting Actors, I feel that Alan Arkin doesn’t deserve a place in that catergory. To me, the deserving nominations should go to:
Tommy Lee Jones
Leonardo DiCaprio
Robert DeNiro
Hoffman.
The fifth spot can be a surprise. Also, I really don’t get how voters might prefer Waltz over DiCaprio. There is absolutely no comparison. BTW, I haven’t seen the Master yet but to me, it should really be between Jones and DiCaprio.
If Leo doesn’t get nominated I will officially conclude that the Academy just dislikes him. I mean what can a man do. If Bradley Cooper gets nominated and if Jennifer Lawrence wins while DiCaprio Is snubbed yet again… what can a man say. Let’s hope I am wrong. Plus, who wouldn’t love a showdown between DeNiro and DiCaprio. It just screams publicity and excitement.
Just my two cents. Anyway.
I expect no surprises.
I’m just bummed Mary Elizabeth Winstead and Smashed were never real contenders.
Her performance impressed me more than Lawrence’s or Chastain’s.
Three Oscar surprises
1. No BP nominees. Amour declared winner on the grounds of ‘no competition’.
2. Richard Parker is nominated and eats 3 of the nominees.
3. Denis Lavant wins Oscar for BA and eats Richard Parker.
Liam Neeson for Best Actor for The Grey.
Christopher Nolan for Best Director for The Dark Knight Rises.
Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress for The Dark Knight Rises.
1. The Impossible for Best Picture (although Sasha has said it now, I can prove that I have been saying it for a while)
2. Emayatzy Corinealdi for Best Actress
3. Eddie Redmayne for Supporting Actor
That’s my NGNG.
My WISHLIST, on the other hand, is lots of Amour – BP, Best Director, Best Actress.
Ok so since these are wacky off the wall predictions mine are
1. Kathryn Bigelow is snubbed for BD
2. Anne Hathaway is snubbed in BSA
3. Amour is snubbed in Best Foreign Film
My NGNG – NO surprises! boring predictable noms or undeservibng noms ala Affleck in Actor
my best wishes 4 Skyfall though i see it snubbed everywhere except sound, cinematography & song :((((
Anna Karenina Picture
Joe Wright Director
Jacki Weaver Supporting Actress
Yay, Sasha! Were you watching the People’s Choice like me and reacting to yet another A-lister (RDJ) praise Naomi Watts?
I’ll go Blunt Force (Looper) and Kelly Reilly for supporting actress and DiCaprio for Django. Reilly’s the biggest long shot of the 3, I imagine.
Judi Dench, Maggie Smith and Helen Mirren are always getting nominations just for showing up. 2012 is the year when all three are going to hog spots, thereby depriving legitimate contenders like Cotillard, Dowd and Reilly of their shots.
(And, boy, I hope I’m wrong)
Also the two male stars of “Silver Linings Playbook” will be edged out by Richard Gere (who does deserve a nomination) and Eddie Redmayne (who might – but “Les Mis” has too many warning signs all over it. I’m steering clear).
Helen Hunt for Best Actress.
Jean-Louis Trintignant or Richard Gere for Best Actor.
John Goodman and not Alan Arkin for Best Supporting Actor.
Okay – people who put Looper into any kind of serious nomination would really have to check their ability to properly judge the quality of a movie… It’s cool if it’s your “fav pic of da year”, but how did you miss the fact that the movie DIDN’T SAY anything at the ene?! Wow!
Oookay its very out there, but let’s play a bit.
1. There will be 8 Best Picture nominations
2. Quentin Tarantino for Best Director
3. Helen Mirren & Naomi Watts nominated, no nominations for Cotillard & Riva
The last would be logical previous examples, though it would be like Oscars saying “Go home, French ladies”, but of course as much as I expect it, I still dread it when I think of Cotillard’a acting…
BEST PICTURE:
-Amour
-Looper
BEST ACTOR:
-Tom Holland – The Impossible
BEST ACTRESS:
-Judi Dench – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
-Ezra Miller – The Perks Of Being A Wallflower
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
-Samantha Barks – Les Miserables
ZDT gets nominated for Best Documentary Feature.
Anna Karenina showing up in several major categories.
No, but for real:
Rion Johnson for Director, Anna Karenina for Cinematography (leavig out ZDT), SL Jackson gets nominated instead of DiCaprio and Waltz.
1. Ann Dowd gets the lead
2. Ann Dowd and Nicole Kidman get supporting
Lead Actress: Keira Knightley in Anna Karenina
Supporting Actor: Matthew McConaughey in Magic Mike
A least expected film like “Extremely Loud, Incredibly Close” in for Best Picture
Maybe when the dust settles after tomorrow, Ryan or Sasha, you would be kind to comment later in the week on the PCA results.
Quvenzhane Wallis for Best Supporting Actress
Quentin Tarantino for Best Director
Richard Gere for Best Actor
1. “Suddenly” misses in Best Song.
2. Jack Black lands a deserved nomination
3. Anna Karenina lands BP nom
Ezra Miller nommed for Sup. Actor
Samantha Barks for Sup. Actress
The Dark Knight Rises for Best Picture
1. “The Impossible” for Best Picture
2. Tom Holland for Best Actor
3. “Holy Motors” for Best Original Screenplay
unlikely hood,
Brilliant observation as always. [Just to be clear: no sarcasm intended.]
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Anyway, regarding phantom’s comments, I enjoy reading phantom’s opinions in general, as well as some others’, when spotted on this site. Kudos.
[Signed out now.]