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Eddie Awards Preview – will the Editors Clear Things Up?

by Sasha Stone
February 3, 2015
in Ace Eddies, News
87
Ten Great Shots from The Grand Budapest Hotel

This weekend, the all important Ace Eddies will be held and two films will win in their individual categories – drama and musical/comedy.

The common wisdom right now is that BOYMAN or BIRDHOOD will prevail – and that Boyhood will win in drama and Birdman in comedy. BUT.

There are some rules that have been consistently true about the Eddies and the Oscars. The first is that no film has ever won Best Picture without an editing nomination since Ordinary People, over 30 years ago.  The second thing is that since the Ace Editors expanded back in 1998 to separate films into drama and comedy/musical, there has never been a film that was in the comedy category and nominated for an Oscar that hasn’t won.

This year the only film from the comedy category to earn an Oscar nod is The Grand Budapest Hotel. History tells us that will win based on what they’ve done in the past. If it doesn’t win, and it goes to the favorite – Birdman – that will be a first in their history.

Thus, I will predict The Grand Budapest Hotel to prevail in the Comedy category but I will also add that 2015 feels like an odd year. Partly because of the wacky way it’s been going and partly because of the dramatic difference in the dates of Oscar ballots and nominations. In some ways it feels like “all bets are off.” Put it this way – Birdman is going to have to be REALLY popular to break those two historical precedents – to win Eddie without a corresponding Oscar nom, and to win Best Picture without a corresponding Oscar nom in editing.  If it manages either or both of these I would expect you have a robust contender on your hands that will likely sweep the season.

The win in the drama category is also going to be interesting.  I don’t know how you don’t give it to Boyhood when you consider what that movie is – and how it leans so heavily on the editor, in this case, one of the few women to be nominated, Sandra Adair. But this, too, will test the popularity of Boyhood on a much larger scale as we head towards the DGA awards. For some reason it seems like the showier editing might upstage Boyhood – particularly American Sniper, which is my prediction to win this award. It’s just a hunch and bears no weight on Boyhood’s potential Best Picture win – it’s just that I have a feeling Sniper is going to win the Eddie and then win the Oscar.

Let it be said again that I would prefer to see Boyhood win this as I think (not being an editor) it deserves it, along with Best Picture.

In documentary I think it could go to Vivian Maier, which has more showy editing than Citizen Four but I can’t not predict CitizenFour and go agains the consensus.

In animated – I think The Lego Movie takes it but honestly, Big Hero 6 has amazing editing…it’s a tossup for me and many are predicting the Boxtrolls.

Final predictions
American Sniper (but I am hoping for Boyhood)
Grand Budapest Hotel (but it could be Birdman)
Citizenfour (watch out for Vivian Maier)
The Lego Movie (but it could really be Big Hero 6)

You tell me what you think?


(polls)

The Charts

 

The Ace Eddies
Won Ace | Won Oscar

2014
American Sniper American Sniper
Boyhood Boyhood
Gone Girl
Imitation Game Imitation Game
Nightcrawler
Whiplash Whiplash
Birdman
Guardians of the Galaxy
Into the Woods
Inherent Vice
Grand Budapest Hotel Grand Budapest Hotel
2013
Captain Phillips Captain Phillips
12 Years a Slave 12 Years a Slave
Gravity Gravity
Her Dallas Buyers Club
Saving Mr. Banks
American Hustle American Hustle
August: Osage County
Nebraska
Wolf of Wall Street

2012

Argo+ Argo+
Life of Pi* Life of Pi*
Lincoln* Lincoln*
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty* Zero Dark Thirty*
Silver Linings Playbook* Silver Linings Playbook*
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Les Miserables*
Moonrise Kingdom
Ted

2011

The Descendants The Descendants*
Hugo Hugo*
Moneyball Moneyball*
War Horse
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Artist  The Artist+
Young Adult
Midnight in Paris
Bridesmaids
My Week with Marilyn

2010

The Social Network The Social Network*
The King’s Speech The King’s Speech+
Black Swan Black Swan*
Inception* 127 Hours*
The Fighter The Fighter*
Alice in Wonderland
Easy A
The Kids Are All Right*
Made in Dagenam
Scott Pilgrim vs. The World

2009

The Hurt Locker The Hurt Locker+
Avatar Avatar*
District 9 District 9*
Star Trek Inglourious Basterds*
Up in the Air* Precious+
The Hangover
500 Days of Summer
A Serious Man*
It’s Complicated
Julia & Julia

2008

Slumdog Millionaire Slumdog Millionaire+
Milk Milk*
Benjamin Button Benjamin Button*
Frost/Nixon Frost/Nixon*
The Dark Knight The Dark Knight
Wall-E
In Bruges
Mamma Mia!
Tropic Thunder
Vicky Cristina Barcelona

2007

The Bourne Ultimatum The Bourne Ultimatum
Into the Wild Into the Wild
Michael Clayton* Diving Bell
No Country for Old Men* No Country for Old Men+
There Will Be Blood* There Will Be Blood*
Hairspray
Juno*
Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End
Ratatouille
Sweeney Todd

2006

Babel* Babel*
Casino Royale Children of Men
The Departed* The Departed+
The Queen* Blood Diamond
United 93 United 93
Thank You for Smoking
The Devil Wears Prada
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine*
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest

2005

Brokeback Mountain* Cinderella Man
The Constant Gardener The Constant Gardener
Crash+ Crash+
Good Night, and Good Luck*
Munich* Munich*
Charlie and The Chocolate Factory
The Family Stone
Pride & Prejudice
Wedding Crashers
Walk the Line Walk the Line

2004

Collateral Collateral
Finding Neverland* Finding Neverland*
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Kinsey
Million Dollar Baby* Million Dollar Baby+
The Aviator * The Aviator*
De-Lovely
Eternal Sunshine
The Incredibles
Ray* Ray*
Sideways*

2003

Cold Mountain Cold Mountain
Master and Commander* Master and Commander*
Mystic River* City of God
The Return of the King+ The Return of the King+
Seabiscuit* Seabiscuit*
(COMEDY OR MUSICAL):
Bend It Like Beckham
Finding Nemo
Lost in Translation*
Pirates of the Caribbean
School of Rock

2002

The Hours* The Hours*
Gangs of New York* Gangs of New York*
About Schmidt
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers Lord of the Rings: Two Towers *
Minority Report The Pianist*
(COMEDY OR MUSICAL):
About a Boy
Adaptation
My Big Fat Greek Wedding
Chicago+ Chicago+
Punch-Drunk Love

2001

A Beautiful Mind + A Beautiful Mind+
Black
Hawk Down
Black
Hawk Down
Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s
Stone
The Lord of the Rings: The
Fellowship of the Ring*
Lord of the Rings*
Memento Memento
(COMEDY
OR MUSICAL):
Gosford Park *
Amelie
Monsters, Inc.
Moulin
Rouge! *
Moulin Rouge*
The Royal Tenenbaums
Shrek

2000

Billy Elliot Wonder Boys
Cast Away
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon* Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon*
Gladiator+ Gladiator+
Traffic* Traffic*
Film Editing – Musical or Comedy
Almost Famous Almost Famous
Best In Show
Chocolat *
O Brother, Where Art Thou?
Shanghai Noon

1999

American Beauty + American Beauty*
The Insider* The Insider*
The Matrix The Matrix
The Sixth Sense * The Sixth Sense*
The Talented Mr. Ripley The Cider House Rules*
Film Editing – Musical or Comedy
Analyze This
Being John Malkovich
Election
Man On the Moon
Run Lola Run

VIEW FULL CHART HERE

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Tags: Ace EddiesBirdmanThe Grand Budapest HotelThe Imitation GameWhiplash
Sasha Stone

Sasha Stone

Sasha Stone has been around the Oscar scene since 1999. Almost everything on this website is her fault.

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