Has it really been 17 years? Maybe 16. I have lost count. Either way, smarty pants who are still around on a Saturday night, here is your big chance to win a really cool prize to be announced later. You can enter multiple times but we’ll only count your most recent one.
After the jump.
sorry but how come there is no blank space for screenplay? I wanted to put 45 years there but I cant 🙁
ALL I want IS some love from Brooklyn and Mad Max: Fury Road.
Agreed! I want me some Brooklyn love!
dammit I need to resend. I forgot they nominate Meryl for EVERY performance possible. god forbid I think outside of the box this year lol…
Best supporting actor was easily the toughest I’ve ever tried to predict. Also screenplay was tough. Bridge of Spies and Brooklyn were #5…had to go with Brooklyn.
All i want is some love for Mad Max and Theron/Hoult ( though hat seems very unlikely) and absolutely nothing for David O Russel.
I still have a hard time seeing Mad Max: Fury Road doing very well with HFPA. I think a best director nomination for George Miller is certainly possible, but I’m not sure after that. I also am predicting The Revenant and Joy to rebound and do well here. Inarritu and Russell’s films usually do well with this group. At the same time I’m only predicting Hateful Eight for screenplay.
Picture (Drama): Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, Carol, The Revenant, Spotlight
Picture (Musical/Comedy): The Big Short, Grandma, Joy, The Martian, Trainwreck
There are a couple of movies that were a few weeks ago SEEMINGLY shoo-ins for Best Pic nominations but I’ve watched the Experts on Gold Derby and their updated predictions and some are slowly but surely falling lower and lower and in some cases off their top tens. ROOM is one of those. Some still have it very high (although most of those that have it high haven’t updated their predictions in a week or two). It’s not doing as well as I thought it would with some of these early awards. Steve Jobs is another. Once very high but now barely hanging on. Obviously things can change but it wouldn’t surprise me if movies like ROOM, Steve Jobs, Inside out, and even Bridge of Spies don’t make the cut while we see something like Mad Max, Creed, and Hateful Eight move up and in.
Those actresses/actors who I think will MISS the cut:
Tom Hanks, Will Smith, Michael Caine, Al Pacino, Charlotte Rampling, Emily Blunt, Carey Mulligan, Blythe Danner, Sandra Bullock, Melissa McCarthy, Tom Hardy, Joel Edgerton, Mark Rylance, Joan Allen — strong year, I think.
Overall, I see it being the biggest celebration for these 5 films: Spotlight, The Martian, Carol, Brooklyn, and Joy (thinking that the Globes may go more for the “womens” films than, perhaps, AMPAS. Hope I’m wrong).
I also think The Danish Girl will have a good showing. And I think The Revenant and Hateful Eight will pop-up here and there, but not as big as they could be.
Mark Rylance is a lock. He is the ultimate actor’s actor. He is doing very well in critic’s awards.
I assume that Helen Mirren is supposed to be for Trumbo, not Steve Jobs, where she was totally forgettable
I need more blank spaces. And is STRAIGHT OUTTA COMPTON not placed in Musical/Comedy? I think that would be a gimme. Because the category really means Musical or Comedy, not Musical Comedy.
it’s not. HFPA ruled it a Drama.
Thanks. That’s dumb tho. 🙂
Hoping for Cinderella to pop in Comedy/Musical.
I know it’s a long shot but can anyone confirm if HFPA considered Blanchett in Lead Actress- Comedy instead of supporting?
Ugh why does supporting actor have to be so ridiculously hard this year. .:/
Christian Bale is in Lead for The Big Short
Am I the only one who was shocked to realize just how dire the Actor – Musical/Comedy lineup is?
No. The outlook on that category has been dismal all year.
Dano SHOULD be there, but even he wouldn’t completely save the category.
I wonder if there’s anyone from Joy they can possibly BS as a male lead. Or maybe Bill Hader has a chance after all.
Love & Mercy is neither a comedy nor musical. There’s music in it but it’s not a musical… it’s a pure drama.
Probably you’re right. But it’s been a terrible year for comedies (and the best one of the year made $700k), and I’d make the push. But that’s just me.
Question: where would you put Whiplash? I put it as a Musical/Comedy because the music is so central to it, but it’s a Drama in almost every other respect.
Even as bleak as it is, I don’t think my favorite, Shameik Moore, will get in. It makes me very sad how poorly that movie did.
It’s funny to follow and to listen some of the answers from HFPA members on Twitter:
– One example – s’il vous plaît, here we go !
– Scott Feinberg: “One tease: four that are close to locks have one-word titles!
– One HFPA Member: “Spotlight, Trumbo, Carol, Joy? There’s also Suffragette, Creed, Brooklyn, Concussion.
– But they’re not locks…” :))
Scott’s such troll, love him. ♥ Likely he counts (The) movies as 1 word. So (The) Martian, (The) Revenant, Room or Youth, Annomalisa (they award Animated ones, right?).
Yeah, exactly :))), here you go .- fishnets :)) ha ha !
THE MARTIAN” made in 60 days Worldwide $556,723,088 (556 Millions) and
is still running big, strong almost invincible for the OSCARS.
“Nespresso – what else ? :)) like George Clooney says!
That’s just Elizabeth’s opinion. Brooklyn is one of Scott ‘s favourite movies of 2015. I’d say it will definitely be nominated.
Yeah, yes Torah87 :)) ha ha !
Psst, Psst, otherwise she is stopping “TWITTERING” :)))
It’s late and I’m tired but am I missing Brooklyn on Best Screenplay? I can’t see it anywhere and it should definitely be listed!