Tonight’s SAG awards will be the results of the largest voting group awards season knows, upwards of 150,000 people will be voting, compared with around 8,000 for PGA and Oscar, 15,000 for DGA. Being able to see the movie at all is always a plus, so Get Out and Mudbound are both available on streaming right now. That would seem to give them the edge. Whatever happens tonight will happen before the Oscar nominations are even announced, which is odd and unprecedented. Expect strange things.
For No Guts, No Glory tonight I think I will go with Mudbound for Ensemble, thus throwing awards season into total whack.
Meanwhile, here are our predictions
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour – Sasha Stone, Jazz Tangcay, Marshall Flores, Clarence Moye, Ryan Adams
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards – Stone, Tangcay, Flores, Moye
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water – Adams
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project – Tangcay, Moye
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards – Stone, Flores, Adams
Alison Janney, I Tonya – Stone, Tangcay, Flores, Moye, Adams
The Big Sick – Tangcay
Three Billboards – Stone, Moye
Get Out – Flores
Mudbound – Adams