(Updated April 5, 2021)
1. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
2. Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Golden Globe)
3. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman (Critics Choice)
4. Frances McDormand, Nomadland (BAFTA nomination)
5. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
The key points —
–In general, it helps to have a Best Picture nomination. That leaves Carey Mulligan and Frances McDormand.
–No black actress has won in 93 years of Oscar history except Halle Berry in 2001.
–Frances McDormand has won two Best Actress awards.
–This is Andra Day and Vanessa Kirby’s first nomination.