MOTION PICTURES – LIVE ACTION
Sound of Metal
Production Mixer – Phillip Bladh CAS
Re-Recording Mixer – Jaime Baksht Segovia
Re-Recording Mixer – Michelle Couttolenc Esparza
Re-Recording Mixer – Carlos Cortés Navarrette
Foley Mixer – Kari Vähäkuopus
MOTION PICTURES – ANIMATED
Soul
Original Dialogue Mixer – Vince Caro CAS
Re-Recording Mixer – Ren Klyce
Re-Recording Mixer – David Parker
Scoring Mixer – Atticus Ross
Scoring Mixer – David Boucher CAS
ADR Mixer – Bobby Johanson CAS
Foley Mixer – Scott Curtis
MOTION PICTURES – DOCUMENTARY
The Bee Gees: How Can You Mend A Broken Heart
Re-Recording Mixer – Gary A. Rizzo CAS
Re-Recording Mixer – Jeff King
NON-THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES or LIMITED SERIES
The Queen’s Gambit: Ep. 4 Middle Game
Production Mixer – Roland Winke
Re-Recording Mixer – Eric Hoehn CAS
Re-Recording Mixer – Eric Hirsch
Re-Recording Mixer – Leo Marcil
Scoring Mixer – Lawrence Manchester
TELEVISION SERIES – ONE HOUR
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel: S3, Ep. 8 A Jewish Girl Walks Into the Apollo…
Production Mixer – Mathew Price CAS
Re-Recording Mixer – Ron Bochar CAS
Scoring Mixer – Stewart Lerman
ADR Mixer – David Boulton
Foley Mixer – George A. Lara CAS
TELEVISION SERIES – HALF HOUR
The Mandalorian: Ep. 102 Chapter 2: The Child
Production Mixer – Shawn Holden CAS
Re-Recording Mixer – Bonnie Wild
Re-Recording Mixer – Stephen Urata
Scoring Mixer – Christopher Fogel CAS
ADR Mixer – Matthew Wood
Foley Mixer – Blake Collins CAS
TELEVISION NON-FICTION, VARIETY or MUSIC, SERIES or SPECIALS
Hamilton
Production Mixer – Justin Rathbun
Re-Recording Mixer – Tony Volante
Re-Recording Mixer – Roberto Fernandez
Re-Recording Mixer – Tim Latham
OUTSTANDING PRODUCT – PRODUCTION
Sound Devices, LLC
CL-16 Linear Fader Control Surface for 8-Series
OUTSTANDING PRODUCT – POST-PRODUCTION
iZotope, Inc.
RX8
STUDENT RECOGNITION AWARD
Brandyn Johnson
University of Southern California — Los Angeles, CA
One more…
I apologize for posting this in as many different places as possible, which I do for obvious reasons! It’s easy to skip over, anyway, once voted.
Hey, guys! It’s that time again… 🙂 All who have seen each of the eight Best Picture nominees at the Oscars this year (or, at the very least, all but Mank – which, unfortunately, clearly has no shot at winning either here or at the Oscars – and maybe Judas and the Black Messiah – which probably also hasn’t got much of a chance, although this is less clear) are warmly invited to post their ranked ballots (personal order of preference, of course, not winning chances) in reply to this comment (to facilitate tabulation at the end), for the 10th Annual Best Picture Preferential Ballot Simulation I will have run – with many thanks, of course!…
***
I’m probably going to keep voting open until Monday, which coincidentally is roughly equivalent to the Oscar voting period. I usually do this right after BAFTA but, even so, this has never quite happened before. [UPDATE: I saw the two I was missing – this is my vote:]
1. Promising Young Woman
2. Nomadland
3. Judas and the Black Messiah
4. The Father
5. Mank
6. The Trial of the Chicago 7
7. Sound of Metal
8. Minari
The most interesting thing about this simulation, as past contributors will remember, is that there is now a running seven-year streak (arguably eight, as Silver Linings Playbook didn’t necessarily do worse than Argo’s other challengers in 2013 at the Oscars) of the likely runner-up for Best Picture at the Oscars finishing either in second or virtually tied for second place in this as well. (Details below. As can be seen, the Oscar-winner has come in first before, three times. But never in second – 0/9…) The beginning of this streak coincides with the year I started holding these simulations at both Awards Daily and on the old IMDb Message Boards. (The first two years I only collected votes at IMDb.) Obviously, this year looks like the most locked-in one (in Best Picture) since at least the Argo year. Personally, I don’t quite consider either that or Nomadland locks – like The Artist or The King’s Speech, for example -, but both were mighty close, despite their two respective stats-relevant misses (Argo, being snubbed for directing, Nomadland, not getting either the ensemble mention or at least two acting nominations at SAG, a tally which only Braveheart could not match or trump, out of all of the SAG era Oscar Best Picture winners). So, I would say it’s still not 100% clear that Nomadland will win (and we’ve certainly been given plenty of reasons to almost always doubt the front-runner the last 6-7 years) and it might help to know which movie is not likely to upset it (as per this stat about coming in second place in this simulation), plus it’s always nice to get a clearer picture about what you guys all think are the best of the nominees. 🙂
The history:
2011 The Social Network —– details not saved (second place was Black Swan, I believe)
2012 – not held –
2013 Zero Dark Thirty ——— 37-24 over Silver Linings Playbook
2014 Her ————————– 33-33 tied with Gravity, won 19-18 on total first place votes
2015 Birdman ——————– 62-61 over Boyhood
2016 Mad Max: Fury Road — 51-37 over The Revenant
2017 Moonlight —————— 41-32 over La La Land
2018 Phantom Thread ——— 39-33 over Call Me By Your Name *
2019 The Favourite ————- 45-30 over Roma
2020 Parasite ——————- 46-14 over The Irishman *
* Three Billboards was tied with Call Me By Your Name at the moment when one had to be eliminated in third place (on tiebreaks). 1917 was three votes behind The Irishman when Parasite reached 50%+1 of the votes, but was ranked ahead of The Irishman on just as many ballots as not (30-30), so it, too, was extremely close to coming in second place. (Only Parasite’s utter domination – the most crushing win ever seen in one of these -, which took away most of the ballots, probably prevented it from at least tying for second.)
Both sound of metal and soul are nominated in this category at the oscar. One or the other will win.
Some excellent choices. I had spookily just watched the Bee Gees Doco: How Do You Mend A Broken Heart. Really well made.