It’s almost all over.
On Sunday night, the voting members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will have their say, and we’ll know what those roughly 9,000 people think is the best film of 2021. Chances are, it won’t be your personal favorite film of 2021. Or mine. Or anyone on the Oscar Squad. Yet, that’s what the preferential ballot gives us — a common consensus film that most people at least like. That film appears to be CODA, judging from its recent surge and its placement on many Oscar prognosticators predictions list.
But some on the Oscar Squad are going with their hearts. Still. Against all odds.
And I honestly celebrate that. Personally, I’m going against my heart and predicting with my head. None of us will get everything right, but, to me, this is the ugliest part of the season. We’re not really celebrating films anymore. We’re just celebrating being right or lamenting being wrong. We’ll be comparing prediction scores on Monday morning. Many will agonize missing this or that category, getting 18 right instead of last year’s 21. Many will gloat and lift themselves up into a position of superiority over people they barely even know save a few shared exchanges over social media.
All of this agony and ecstasy based simply on the whims of a group of about 9,000 people. People who, in a year, probably watch about a tenth of the films as the average Awards Daily reader.
Ultimately, as I close the year on Oscar Squad, what I suppose I’m saying is don’t concern yourself too much with what wins and loses. Savor the films you’ve loved over the year. Revisit them as members of the family you’ve chosen.
Make your own personal Best Picture of the Year.
In the end, it’ll make you a happier person. I promise.
Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actress
Best Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Editing
I’m glad I’m not the only one toying with a Worst Person in the World screenplay win… I probably won’t end up doing it but it’s good to see in these charts that I’m not alone in considering it!
It innovative game changer of screenplay for CODA awarding this film hopefully likely ( surely unless ampas want to sink boot stupidly into rightful influence if major guilds ) … NEVER BEFORE BEEN a screenplay since dawn of the Academy first win the silent extravaganza in ‘ wings’ where majority overwhelmingly of film has extra chsllenge not just have sign language as a way to convey dialogue but to keep momentum of one most engaging stories of everyday life scenarios and tensions but keep momentum of films screenplay keep audiences engaged through this first ever sign language driven story film… ever made
.. it contributes in CODA a once 8n a generation screenplay achievement so frankly it be insult pointless give CODA best picture without giving it screenplay win too.
I expect it to go 3/3 now of low nominated films for best pic overr the years… this is equivalent achievement of 8 Oscar nominated film … not q 3 time nominated film.
CODA IS A GAMECHANGER in it script Power of the Dog is NOT. Without doubt now Power of Dog is most overrated lead nominated film in last 20 years. Full stop !
It just sounding increasingly shallow that DOG have it day…no..it time for unveiling of a modern day social ‘Code’ to be unlocked namely that of phenomena of CODA.
It’s amazing they’re still going with Dune for Film Editing because I don’t see it winning after losing all it’s precursors!
But nothing has won more than 1 precursor and over half of the precursors went to films not nominated at Oscar… So your options are really ACE only or no precursor wins. This category really is a headache this year
I still don’t think Dune is winning
Fair enough, are you going for King Richard then? It is a hard category this year!
I would love for it to be Tick, Tick… BOOM but I can’t bring myself to predict it without a picture nomination
I would love for King Richard to win. I hear sports films do so well in this category. tick, tick…..BOOM! could win but comedy/musicals don’t do well in this category.
That’s not entirely true. In the past 20 years there has only been one sports film win (Ford v Ferrari) where there have been 2 musicals win (Chicago and Bohemian Rhapsody). Going back another 20 years there aren’t any examples of either winning the Oscar.
Over the past 20 years lots of editing winners have been big epic technical achievements (Return of the King, Gravity, Fury Rd, Dunkirk are just a few examples) so based on that reasoning it would make more sense to go for Dune
‘Sports movies do pretty well in the Film Editing category. Previous winners include The Pride of the Yankees (1942), National Velvet (1945), Body and Soul (1947), Champion (1949), Grand Prix (1966), Rocky (1976), Raging Bull (1980), and Ford v Ferrari (2019).’
You don’t think so?
8 over more than 90 years and only one of those being in the past 40 years. Yeah that isn’t great. Musicals are about the same – I can count 8 – Bohemian Rhapsody, Chicago, All that jazz, Cabaret, Sound of Music, Mary Poppins, West Side Story, Gigi
Not saying it won’t win because it is a sports film. Clearly sports films can win and it having the ACE helps. I’m just saying it being a sports film isn’t a great argument over an epic (there are probably 40 editing winners that are epics, epics and war films make up most editing winners) and a musical (same number of musicals have won in the past as sports films and more musicals have won recently).
We’ll see what happens Sunday