Well, we can put it off no longer. Here are our predictions for the Directors and SAG (tomorrow) and Producers Guild (Thursday) nominations.
DGA
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All At Once — Sasha Stone, Ryan Adams, Clarence Moye, Mark Johnson, Marshall Flores
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun Maverick — Stone, Johnson, Flores
Baz Luhrmann, Elvis — Stone, Johnson, Moye, Flores
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson
James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water — Moye, Flores
Sarah Polley, Women Talking – Adams
Todd Field, TÁR – Adams
PGA
Avatar: The Way of Water — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
The Banshees of Inisherin — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
Elvis — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
Everything Everywhere All at Once — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
The Fabelmans — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
TÁR — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
Top Gun: Maverick — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
The Woman King — Stone, Adams, Moye, Johnson, Flores
Women Talking — Stone, Adams, Moye, Flores
Glass Onion — Stone, Johnson, Flores
Babylon – Adams
SAG
Best Film Ensemble:
The Banshees of Inisherin — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Everything Everywhere All at Once — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
The Fablemans — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Glass Onion — Johnson, Flores, Moye
Women Talking — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Top Gun Maverick – Stone
Best Actor:
Austin Butler, Elvis — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Brendan Fraser, The Whale — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Bill Nighy, Living — Johnson, Flores, Stone
Hugh Jackman, The Son – Moye
Best Actress:
Cate Blanchett, TAR — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Danielle Deadwyler, Till — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Viola Davis, The Woman King — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Best Supporting Actor:
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans — Johnson, Stone
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans — Johnson, Flores
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Brad Pitt, Babylon — Flores, Stone, Moye
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse – Moye
Best Supporting Actress:
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Jessie Buckley, Women Talking — Johnson
Hong Chau, The Whale — Flores, Moye
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Janelle Monae, Glass Onion — Johnson, Flores, Stone, Moye
Carey Mulligan, She Said – Stone
I haven’t seen Wakanda Forever, but is Bassett really deserving of this award? Or is this a consolatory prize? She’s a fine actress. I wish she had won for a better movie and role.
actually she’s pretty great and the role has a couple of Oscar clips. But almost everyone in the film is excellent, really awards-consideration level… probably the best acted MCU film
100% consolation in a weak year. Not even amnong best Marvel performances cause there’s no material for her. Grandstanding with some mourning. I guess that passes for awards-worthy these days. Ironically, not even in a cultural phenomenon movie. Fat chance Ledger and Phoenix would have won if their movies were anything less than that considering how anti-genre AMPAS tends to be in acting categories.
SAG awards on YouTube this year, then switches to Netflix in 2024, due to the turmoil with the WB/Discovery+ shitstorm of a merger and its calamitous aftermath:
https://deadline.Com/2023/01/sag-awards-stream-netflix-1235217264/
Very good news.
I wouldn’t be surprised if AFTRA nominated Wakanda in Ensemble again. It’s going to get stunt ensemble nomination and Bassett is going to win. I give it 50:50.
Also, Woman King seems right up their alley, also likely getting stunt ensemble nom as well.
RRR could show up too Parasite style without individual acting. could also get in for stunts.
I have no clue what DGA will do after nominating Obi Wan Kenobi in Limited for God-awful directing that was universally panned. I know it’s different category but DGA standards clearly dropped since something so bad could get a nomination.
Have DGA’s standards ever been that high?!
Vintage tweet from 2015:
https://twitter.com/filmystic/status/564317577099624448
(I was mad when I wrote that tweet in 2015, because the DGA had failed to nominate David Fincher for Gone Girl)
(but instead the DGA nominated Clint Eastwood for American Sociopath .. if I recall the title correctly)
(also Morten Tyldum for The Imitation Game… which, I dunno… ¯_(ツ)_/¯ )
Yeah, those both had no business being on a list of top 5 directing achievements of the year… I actually love Gigi. It’s one of my all-time favorite movies. Although Vertigo is great too, and I can definitely see the argument that it’s better directed than Gigi. I have no problem with that. 🙂
DGA TV nominated Deborah Chow for terrible direction of Obi Wan series in Limited so it looks like some standards got as low as possible. No one can explain how that nom happened since directign was universally panned.
Haven’t seen that one, but if it was universally panned, it’s definitely bizarre…
Rabid Star Wars fans within the DGA or something?!
no clue. honestly, Obi Wan noms are baffling.