2025 Oscar Predictions: Best Director and the Generation Gap
The first year I began my website, Gladiator won Best Picture. I got it wrong and predicted Crouching Tiger, Hidden ...
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Oscar Nomination Predictions
Best Picture
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1.
95%One Battle after Another (Warner Bros.)
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2.
91.7%Sinners (Warner Bros.)
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3.
76.7%Hamnet (Focus Features)
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4.
68.3%Marty Supreme (A24)
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5.
66.7%Sentimental Value (Neon)
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6.
68.3%Frankenstein (Netflix)
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7.
68.3%The Secret Agent (Neon)
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8.
68.3%Bugonia (Focus Features)
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9.
68.3%Train Dreams (Netflix)
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10.
66.7%F1 (Apple)
Best Director
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1.
95%One Battle after Another, Paul Thomas Anderson
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2.
83.3%Sinners, Ryan Coogler
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3.
73.3%Hamnet, Chloé Zhao
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4.
68.3%Marty Supreme, Josh Safdie
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5.
68.3%Sentimental Value, Joachim Trier
Best Actor
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1.
90%Michael B. Jordan in Sinners
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2.
88.3%Timothée Chalamet in Marty Supreme
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3.
73.3%Leonardo DiCaprio in One Battle after Another
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4.
75%Wagner Moura in The Secret Agent
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5.
71.7%Ethan Hawke in Blue Moon
Best Actress
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1.
98.3%Jessie Buckley in Hamnet
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2.
71.7%Rose Byrne in If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
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3.
68.3%Renate Reinsve in Sentimental Value
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4.
66.7%Kate Hudson in Song Sung Blue
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5.
66.7%Emma Stone in Bugonia
Best Supporting Actor
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1.
91.7%Sean Penn in One Battle after Another
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2.
81.7%Stellan Skarsgård in Sentimental Value
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3.
78.3%Delroy Lindo in Sinners
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4.
75%Benicio Del Toro in One Battle after Another
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5.
73.3%Jacob Elordi in Frankenstein
Best Supporting Actress
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1.
86.7%Amy Madigan in Weapons
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2.
88.3%Teyana Taylor in One Battle after Another
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3.
81.7%Wunmi Mosaku in Sinners
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4.
73.3%Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas in Sentimental Value
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5.
70%Elle Fanning in Sentimental Value
2026 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture Deep Dive, What the Stats Tell Us, and What They Don’t
Our pal Ryan Casselman who makes quite entertaining Oscar videos and should be much more famous than he is put...
