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Get Out Breaks Box Office Record for Black Filmmakers, Stirs Oscar Talk

Sasha Stone by Sasha Stone
April 10, 2017
in BEST PICTURE, Contender Tracker
0

Marshall Flores brings the news that Get Out, with a box office take of $162 million, is now the highest grossing film ever for a black director, in addition to already being the highest grossing directorial debut ever. And word of mouth is only growing. Though it’s still quite early in the year, it isn’t unheard of for a movie to truck along and stay afloat through to the end of the year.

After spending many years acting with longtime comedy partner Keegan-Michael Key, first on Mad TV and most recently on Comedy Central’s Key and Peele (one of the greatest sketch comedy shows of all time), Jordan Peele made the leap from TV to film last year with writing the screenplay for Keanu. Now in his directorial debut, Peele has created a zeitgeist hit with just a $5 million budget – an incisive, funny, and darkly subversive Rorschachian allegory on the current state of race relations in America that tonally evokes the work of Ira Levin and Shirley Jackson.

In addition to its stellar box office performance, Get Out is a massive critical success, with a Rotten Tomatoes score of 99%. It literally has one negative review (from everyone’s favorite contrarian curmudgeon, Armond White).

We put Get Out in the screenplay category, where it has the best shot, but we’ll go ahead and put it in the contender tracker for Best Picture and Director.

Saw Get Out (2nd time) today, and I don't think a Best Picture nomination is out of the question.

— Mark Harris (@MarkHarrisNYC) April 9, 2017

Mark Harris’ tweet above caused a bit of a stir in Oscar land, with Anne Thompson offering up the cautionary voice and Erik Anderson following suit, saying screenplay is the best bet (as we already knew).

@MarkHarrisNYC Screenplay

— Anne Thompson (@akstanwyck) April 10, 2017

@akstanwyck @MarkHarrisNYC Yep.

— AwardsWatch (@awards_watch) April 10, 2017

However, we can sometimes limit a film’s chances and our overall consideration of awards material, so-called, if we put up roadblocks. We all want to be right and I know as I type this that this piece will be met with “no way.” That’s how the game is played but honestly, the game itself is somewhat broken.

As we learned LAST year, the Academy’s change of membership has caused an evolution in the ranks. That evolution means we Oscar watchers must similarly adjust our expectations and predictions. We’re right and we’re wrong but shutting something down this early does nothing good for anyone, including the prognosticator. After all, what is the benefit there? It seems to me that if a movie is good enough people will remember it, especially if it still resonates by year’s end, which this might. After almost 20 years in the business and a really unpredictable end to the year last year, it’s time to rethink the game.

Tags: Get OutJordan Peele
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AD Predicts

Oscar Nomination Predictions

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Best Picture
  • 1.
    Hamnet
    90.9%
  • 2.
    One Battle After Another
    90.9%
  • 3.
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    81.8%
  • 4.
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    90.9%
  • 5.
    Marty Supreme
    90.9%
Best Director
  • 1.
    Paul Thomas Anderson
    One Battle After Another
    90.9%
  • 2.
    Chloe Zhao
    Hamnet
    100.0%
  • 3.
    Jafar Panahi
    It Was Just An Accident
    72.7%
  • 4.
    Ryan Coogler
    Sinners
    54.5%
  • 5.
    Joachim Trier
    Sentimental Value
    63.6%
Best Actor
  • 1.
    Timothée Chalamet
    Marty Supreme
    81.8%
  • 2.
    Ethan Hawke
    Blue Moon
    81.8%
  • 3.
    Leonardo DiCaprio
    One Battle After Another
    72.7%
  • 4.
    Michael B. Jordan
    Sinners
    63.6%
  • 5.
    Wagner Maura
    The Secret Agent
    45.5%
Best Actress
  • 1.
    Jessie Buckley
    Hamnet
    81.8%
  • 2.
    Cynthia Erivo
    Wicked For Good
    63.6%
  • 3.
    Renate Reinsve
    Sentimental Value
    63.6%
  • 4.
    Amanda Seyfried
    The Testament of Ann Lee
    63.6%
  • 5.
    Rose Byrne
    If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
    54.5%
Best Supporting Actor
  • 1.
    Stellan Skarsgård
    Sentimental Value
    72.7%
  • 2.
    Paul Mescal
    Hamnet
    72.7%
  • 3.
    Sean Penn
    One Battle After Another
    63.6%
  • 4.
    Jacob Elordi
    Frankenstein
    54.5%
  • 5.
    Benicio Del Toro
    One Battle After Another
    45.5%
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