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2026 Oscar Predictions Podcast – with an Oscar Flashback for The Last Tango in Paris

Sasha Stone by Sasha Stone
March 23, 2025
in 2026 Oscar Predictions, BEST PICTURE, featured, Oscar Podcast
0

Jeff Wells and I recorded a podcast. We chatted a bit about the Oscar game and whether or not it’s good for films to be seen as Oscar frontrunners even before they’ve been seen.

We also revisit Bernardo Bertolucci’s Last Tango in Paris. I wanted to look at the movie through fresh eyes, factoring in the last-stage evaluation of the movie as abusive to the young star, Maria Schneider. I found Last Tango to be an exceptional cinematic experience, of the kind they not only don’t make anymore but couldn’t make.

I call them “live wire” movies. Watching them is like touching an electrical wire. You don’t know what it will feel like or much it will shock you. I know that we see things differently now, and no director would feel emboldened to “surprise” a 19-year-old actress with what amounts to a rape scene (simulated), which included the butter scene. That scene upstaged everything else about the movie, and I can imagine how Schneider would feel bad about that. If people only remember that one thing about you, it will haunt you.

On the other hand, live wire cinema leaves wreckage in its wake, but it’s also the kind of movie that audiences would never experience otherwise. Their commitment was not to violate or hurt Schneider but to create an authentic reaction. Actors back in the day, before everyone became so fragile they needed “intimacy coordinators,” welcomed the challenge. That they spent the entirety of the Me Too era then complaining about how they were exploited has meant greatly sanitizing movies — in my view.

I kind of feel like it’s a rough and tumble business, like politics. Not everyone is made for it, and those who aren’t should stay away. I don’t agree that Schneider’s experience renders the movie dangerous. For Marlon Brando’s performance alone it’s worth seeing.

By the way, Schneider’s character is happy and laughing five minutes after “the scene” and continues her affair with Brando’s character. It was a moment when she was taken to the limit, somewhere she didn’t want to go, but it was also within the strange universe they’d built together.

The year was 1972. Nixon would win in a historic landslide that year. Brando won for The Godfather, along with Best Picture. He would be nominated for Last Tango the following year.  The shock of it would wake up many on the Left to just how different they were from the silent majority. Movie makers were grinding against the status quo, breaking free from traditionalism and also competing with the more transgressive and daring films from other countries.

There is transgressive cinema happening now, but it’s only allowed in the Queer Movie genre. Heterosexual masculine men have been diminished, even blotted out entirely from American movies now. Thus, it’s notable to witness Brando’s screen presence.  It is something we just don’t see anymore. And what a shame that is.

I mean:

 

Anyway, have a listen.

Tags: Oscar Podcast
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Oscar Nomination Predictions

See All →
Best Picture
  • 1.
    Hamnet
    95.5%
  • 2.
    One Battle After Another
    95.5%
  • 3.
    Sinners
    90.9%
  • 4.
    Sentimental Value
    95.5%
  • 5.
    Wicked: For Good
    95.5%
Best Director
  • 1.
    Paul Thomas Anderson
    One Battle After Another
    100.0%
  • 2.
    Chloe Zhao
    Hamnet
    100.0%
  • 3.
    Ryan Coogler
    Sinners
    72.7%
  • 4.
    Joachim Trier
    Sentimental Value
    68.2%
  • 5.
    Jafar Panahi
    It Was Just An Accident
    54.5%
Best Actor
  • 1.
    Timothée Chalamet
    Marty Supreme
    95.5%
  • 2.
    Leonardo DiCaprio
    One Battle After Another
    90.9%
  • 3.
    Ethan Hawke
    Blue Moon
    72.7%
  • 4.
    Michael B. Jordan
    Sinners
    81.8%
  • 5.
    Wagner Maura
    The Secret Agent
    54.5%
Best Actress
  • 1.
    Jessie Buckley
    Hamnet
    95.5%
  • 2.
    Cynthia Erivo
    Wicked For Good
    81.8%
  • 3.
    Renate Reinsve
    Sentimental Value
    81.8%
  • 4.
    Amanda Seyfried
    The Testament of Ann Lee
    68.2%
  • 5.
    Chase Infiniti
    One Battle After Another
    45.5%
Best Supporting Actor
  • 1.
    Stellan Skarsgård
    Sentimental Value
    90.9%
  • 2.
    Paul Mescal
    Hamnet
    90.9%
  • 3.
    Sean Penn
    One Battle After Another
    81.8%
  • 4.
    Jacob Elordi
    Frankenstein
    59.1%
  • 5.
    Adam Sandler
    Jay Kelly
    40.9%
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