Mark Johnson’s Good As Gold

Predictions have been updated as of 10/15/20

PICTURE

  1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
  2. Nomadland (Searchlight; TIFF, Venice)
  3. Mank (Netflix)
  4. Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros.)
  5. News of the World (Universal)
  6. One Night in Miami… (Amazon)
  7. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
  8. The Father (Sony Pictures Classics)
  9. The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Paramount Pictures)
  10. Da 5 Bloods (Netlix)

Just outside: Minari (A24), Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix), Respect (United Artists)

DIRECTOR

  1. David Fincher (Mank)
  2. Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)
  3. Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
  4. Regina King (One Night in Miami…)
  5. Paul Greengrass (News of the World)

Just outside: Shaka King (Judas and the Black Messiah), George C. Wolfe (Ma Rainey’s Wet Bottom), Florian Zeller (The Father)

LEAD ACTOR

  1. Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)
  2. Gary Oldman (Mank)
  3. Anthony Hopkins (The Father)
  4. Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods)
  5. Steven Yeun (Minari)

Just outside: Tom Hanks (News of the World), Tom Holland (Cherry), Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)

LEAD ACTRESS

  1. Amy Adams (Hillbilly Elegy)
  2. Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of Woman)
  3. Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
  4. Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
  5. Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)

Just outside: Andra Day (The United States vs Billie Holiday), Michelle Pfeiffer (French Exit), Jennifer Hudson (Respect)

SUPPORTING ACTOR

  1. Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
  2. LaKeith Stanfield (Judas and the Black Messiah)
  3. David Strathairn (Nomadland)
  4. Bill Murray (On the Rocks)
  5. Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)

Just outside: Leslie Odom Jr (One Night in Miami…), Shia LaBeouf (Pieces of a Woman), Stanley Tucci (Supernova)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  1. Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy)
  2. Olivia Colman (The Father)
  3. Helena Zengel (News of the World)
  4. Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
  5. Saoirse Ronan (Ammonite)

Just outside: Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman), Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari), Meryl Streep (The Prom)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

  1. Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)
  2. Kemp Powers (One Night in Miami…)
  3. Ruben Santiago-Hudson (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
  4. Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller (The Father)
  5. Luke Davies and Paul Greengrass (News of the World)

Just outside: Suzan-Lori Parks (The United States vs Billie Holiday), Vanessa Taylor (Hillbilly Elegy), Charlie Kaufman (I’m Thinking of Ending Things)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

  1. Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
  2. Jack Fincher (Mank)
  3. Will Berson, Shaka King, Keith Lucas, and Kenny Lucas (Judas and the Black Messiah)
  4. Pete Docter, Mike Jones, and Kemp Powers (Soul)
  5. Lee Isaac Chung (Minari)

Just outside: Spike Lee (Da 5 Bloods), Sofia Coppola (One the Rocks), Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman)