Simulated Oscar Nominations Ballot Results

The raw results have been tabulated. Thanks a million to Rob Y for giving us another terrific angle on the Oscar process. Rob promises to have a detailed breakdown and spreadsheets ready to examine over the next few days.

Picture:
1) 12 Years a Slave (in first place on 23% of all ballots; Qualified after Round 1)
2) Gravity (in first place on 21% of all ballots; Qualified after Round 1)
3) The Wolf of Wall Street (Qualified after Round 2)
4) Her (Qualified after Round 2)
5) American Hustle (Qualified after Round 2)
6) Inside Llewyn Davis (Qualified after Round 3)
7) Before Midnight (Qualified after Round 3)

Director:
Gravity (in first place on 42% of all ballots)
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street
Her
American Hustle

Actress:
Cate Blanchett (in first place on 45% of all ballots)
Sandra Bullock
Adele Exarchopoulos
Amy Adams
Emma Thompson

Actor:
Chiwetel Ejiofor (in first place on 27% of all ballots)
Leonardo Dicaprio
Matthew McConaughey
Oscar Isaac
Bruce Dern

Supporting Actress:
Lupita Nyong’O (in first place on 36% of all ballots)
Jennifer Lawrence
Sally Hawkins
Lea Seydoux
June Squib (beat out Scarlett Johansson by half a vote)

Supporting Actor:
Jared Leto (in first place on 34% of all ballots)
Michael Fassbender
Barkhad Abdi
Jonah Hill
Bradley Cooper

Original Screenplay:
Her (in first place on 31% of all ballots)
American Hustle
Inside Llewyn Davis
Blue Jasmine
Nebraska

Adapted Screnplay:
12 Years a Slave (in first place on 34% of all ballots)
Before Midnight
The Wolf of Wall Street
Philomena
Captain Phillips

Editing:
Gravity (in first place on 46% of all ballots)
The Wolf of Wall Street
12 Years a Slave
Captain Phillips
American Hustle

Cinematography:
Gravity (in first place on 54% of all ballots)
Inside Llewyn Davis
12 Years a Slave
Her
Prisoners

Totals:
12 Years a Slave – 8
American Hustle – 7
Gravity – 6
The Wolf of Wall Street – 5
Her – 4
Inside Llewyn Davis – 4
Blue Jasmine – 3
Nebraska – 3
Captain Phillips – 3
Before Midnight – 2
Blue Is the Warmest Color – 2
Dallas Buyers Club – 2
Saving Mr. Banks – 1
Philomena – 1
Prisoners – 1