Update: added Best Actress, Musical/Comedy. Sorry about that.
I assembled a few of our Gate Crashers to lay down our predictions for Sunday’s Golden Globes. The truth is that any film an win and it’s probably not wise to read too much into how they turn out. We only have last year to go off of since they expanded their membership from 90 to 300. We don’t much about them. But we might get a consensus that will help us find who the frontrunners will be. At this moment in time, your guess is as good as mine.
Then there is the money/publicity factor. If Jay Penske owns the Golden Globes and also Variety, Hollywood Reporter, Deadline, Indiewire, and Gold Derby – that tells me that the awards game is mostly over. It’s back where it was when I started, which was in the hands of the trades with not a lot of dissent to be had. Getting paid and played by the studios is nice work if you can get it. Basement dwelling n’er do wells can make a decent living just by hyping the films that land in the race. So we have no idea what to expect.
But what the hell, we laid down our picks anyway. The participants this time are:
Yours Truly
Christian Toto
Chris Gore
Michael Grei
Ed Douglas
“Industry Guy”
Scott Kernen
Jeff Wells
Probably the wins won’t go this way. There are several narratives that could play out. But there are a few questions we need to answer, like will Angelina Jolie win at the Globes despite being left off BAFTA’s list? Did they love The Brutalist enough to give Brady Corbet either Picture, Director or Screenplay? Does it go home empty handed? How well do they like Anora? Wicked? Will Emilia Perez win more awards besides Supporting Actress? We really don’t know at this point. It’s all just a guess. I took a few chances here just for the fun of it.
Here is how they came out all together:
Best Picture Drama
1. Conclave
2. A Complete Unknown
3. The Brutalist
4. Dune Part II
5. Nickel Boys
6. September 5
Best Picture Musical/Comedy
1. Anora
2. Emilia Pérez
3. Wicked
4. The Substance
5. A Real Pain
6. Challengers
Best Actress, Drama
1. Nicole Kidman, Baby Girl
2. Angelina Jolie, Maria
3. Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here
4. Kate Winslet, Lee
5. Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl
6. Tilda Swinton, The Room Next Door
Best Actor, Drama
1. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
2. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
3. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
5. Daniel Craig, Queer
6. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice
Best Actress, Musical/Comedy
1. Mikey Madison, Anora
2. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked
3. Demi Moore, The Substance
4. Amy Adams, Nightbitch
5. Karla Sofia Gascon, Emilia Perez
6. Zendaya, Challengers
Best Actor Musical/Comedy
1. Sebastian Stan, A Different Man
2. Hugh Grant, Heretic
3. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain
4. Glen Powell, Hit Man
5. Gabriel LaBelle, Saturday Night
6. Jesse Plemons, Kinds of Kindness
Best Supporting Actress
1. Ariana Grande, Wicked –TIE
2. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez –TIE
3. Margaret Qualley, The Substance
4. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave
5. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
6. Selena Gomez, Emilia Perez
Best Supporting Actor
1. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain
2. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentic
3. Denzel Washington, Gladiator II
4. Yura Borisov, Anora
5. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown
6. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
Best Director
1. Sean Baker, Anora
2. Jaques Audiard, Emilia Perez
3. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist
4. Edward Berger, Conclave
5. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance
6. Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine as Light
Best Screenplay
1. Sean Baker, Anora
2. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance
3. Peter Straughan. Conclave
4. Jaques Audiard, Emilia Perez
5. Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold, The Brutalist
6. Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain
Best Original Score
1. Conclave
2. Emilia Pérez
3. Challengers
4. Dune Part II
5. The Brutalist
6. Wild Robot
Best Original Song
1. El Mal
2. Forbidden Road
3. Beautiful That Way
4. Mi Camino
5. Kiss the Sky
6. Compress/Repress
Best Animated Feature
1. The Wild Robot
2. Memoir of a Snail
3. Inside Out 2
4. Flow
5. Moana 2
6. Wallace and Gromit
Non-English Language Film
1. Emilia Pérez
2. All We Imagine as Light
3. The Seed of the Sacred Fig
4. I’m Still Here
5. The Girl with the Needle
6. Vermiglio
Cinematic Box Office
1. Wicked
2. Deadpool &Wolverine
3. Inside Out 2
4. Alien: Romulus
5. Beatlejuice Beatlejuice
6. Gladiator II
And here are our individual predictions:
