Nextgen Oscarwatcher: Best Supporting Actor and “Category Placement”

Continuing on from the past few weeks regarding above the line categories, it’s time to look at what the consensus might be for Best Supporting Actor, and what the Awards Community thinks could be considered a “frontrunner” or “challenger” for ultimately prevailing in the end. From the Award Expert app, this is the consensus at the current moment. Out front, ever since the film’s premiere at the Cannes Film Festival, has been Stellan Skarsgård for Joachim Trier’s Sentimental Value. Though considered by...

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Can Bari Weiss Save CBS News and Change the Game?

The CBS/Paramount deal to aquire Bari Weiss' The Free Press for about the same cost as the budget for One Battle After Another is now complete. Weiss announced it, along with her mission statement, on their YouTube channel. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sqZ7E_Mx-K4 She lays out her plans to stay CEO and Editor in Chief of The Free Press, along with guiding CBS News in a better direction (60 Minutes, Sunday Morning). CBS needs Bari Weiss more than she needs CBS. This is a rescue mission,...

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Box Office Watch: Can One Battle After Another Break Even?

This weekend, Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another crossed the $100 million mark at the global box office, picking up $58 million internationally, adding to the $42 million domestic. Had the film cost around $50 million, it would be in a great position to win Best Picture. It cost between $130-$150 million. If it won, it would be the second-highest budget film to win since Titanic. Does that even matter? It didn't entirely bomb, and it looks like it will do...

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Predicting the Golden Globes Podcast Award Won’t be Hard

The eligible podcasts have been announced for the inaugural podcast award from the Golden Globes, and it's a little bit awkward.  It might shock them to see who some of the top 25 most-listened to people are. To get a nomination, they must be Team Blue. We know that, right? There are no exceptions. When Jane Fonda and 500 other VIPs in Hollywood signed a pledge stating they stood up for the right to free speech for anyone, regardless of their political...

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2026 Oscar Predictions: There Are No Frontrunners

The pundits and critics now believe they make the race. But they don't. Any name in the frontrunner's spot is there because pundits put it there. Granted, that can sometimes be hard to displace.  Zoe Saldana and Kieran Culkin were already locked in. But do we have any contenders now that feel locked in? We do not. Maybe Jessie Buckley for Best Actress in Hamnet, as no one has emerged who can top her performance. But that's pretty much it. Best Picture...

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The Buzzmeter: The Last Thing Hollywood Cares About is Free Speech

You can subscribe to The Buzzmeter by clicking here. Jane Fonda and The Ankler have decided to cosplay oppression and fear of "authoritarianism" and free speech. Neither of them had spoken a single word in the past ten years, as Hollywood brought back the blacklists and silenced speech, forbade dissent, and transformed the industry into a dogma delivery device. Gone was real creative expression, gone was the truth, any kind of truth. Only one message was allowed -- and still is allowed....

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2026 Oscars: Frankenstein and the Year of Horror in Best Picture

Netflix has quite the slate of movies aiming at the Oscar race, as usual. Jay Kelly, House of Dynamite, Ballad of a Small Player. But the one that seems to be gaining traction is Guillermo Del Toro's Frankenstein. Now, it appears that there is a chance we could have three, count 'em, three horror films in the running for Best Picture. Could it be? There was a time when we couldn't even get in the race. So what has changed? For starters,...

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Let’s Talk Cinema: A Heart Check

To be honest, I’m having trouble writing this article. I was going to do my "Mount Rushmore of Actors", but decided to postpone it for next week. Sasha encouraged me to write from my heart and express what I’m really dealing with. So, I guess that’s what I’ll do—and somehow, I’ll try to spin this back into talking about cinema. Please, bear with me! After all the political assassinations and school shootings, I made a personal stance not to support One Battle...

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2026 Oscars: Box Office and Best Picture

In the old days, box office most definitely mattered. There was no way a movie could lose money and win Best Picture. The question is, does it still matter? Are there factors that might mitigate a loss, like good intentions? Can the new voters, 3,000 of them, who aren't exactly invested in the film industry, ignore practical realities like the costs of making and releasing movies? I don't know. But it's worth asking the question. I've been doing this a long time,...

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Nextgen Oscarwatcher – Best Actress: Is The Outcome An Inevitability?

If there is one acting category that always has traction and attention, from who will get nominated to who ultimately prevails, it has always been that of Best Actress in a Leading Role. From ingenues to veterans, American sensations to International discoveries, it’s undoubtedly one of, if not the most popular, races to watch annually. Although the track record has been spotty in the past, Best Actress has become a stronger predictor of the Best Picture category in recent years, with four...

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IMDb Users Rank One Battle Higher Than Citizen Kane

Paul Thomas Anderson's "One Battle After Another" is climbing the IMDb charts and has now topped Citizen Kane and North by Northwest. The only question now is whether it can do as well at the box office as the other WB titles. Meanwhile, the film opened with $22 million, breaking the WB streak with $40 million openers. Even if it doesn't, the WB can still walk away from this year feeling proud that they almost single-handedly saved Hollywood by releasing big-budget movies...

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2025 Tracker

Best PictureOne Battle After Another
Sinners
Hamnet
Sentimental Value
The Smashing Machine
Weapons
Bugonia
Jay Kelly
Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
Wake Up Dead Man
After the Hunt
F1: The Movie
Warfare

Best ActorDwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine
Jeremy Allen White, Springsteen: DMFN
Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another
George Clooney, Jay Kelly
Michael B. Jordan, Sinners
Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value
Jesse Plemons, Bugonia
Paul Mescal, Hamnet
Colin Farrell, Ballad of a Small Palyer
Oscar Isaac, Frankenstein 
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Roses
Tom Hiddleston, The Life of Chuck
Austin Butler, Caught Stealing

Best Actress
Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
Emma Stone, Bugonia
Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value
Sydney Sweeney, Christy
Jennifer Lawrence, Die My Love
Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee
Julia Roberts, After the Hunt
Olivia Colman, The Roses
June Squibb, Eleanor the Great
Rebecca Ferguson, House of Dynamite
 Rose Byrne, If I had Legs I'd Kick You
Jodie Foster, A Private Life
Louise Heyer, Sound of Falling



Best Supporting Actor
Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value
Sean Penn, One Battle After Another
Paul Mescal, Hamnet
Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly
Delroy Lindo, Sinners
Miles Caton, Sinners
Damson Idris, F1: The Movie
Javier Bardem, F1: The Movie

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Madigan, Weapons
Laura Dern, Jay Kelly
Teyana Taylor, One Battle
Chase Infinity, One Battle
Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners
Hailee Steinfeld, Sinners

Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
Ryan Coogler, Sinners
Chloé Zhao, Hamnet
Joaquim Trier, Sentimental Value
Zach Cregger, Weapons
Yorgos Lanthimos, Bugonia
Benny Safdie, The Smashing Machine
Noah Baumbach, Jay Kelly
Scott Cooper, Springsteen: DMFN
Joseph Kosinski, F1: The Movie
Steven Soderbergh, Black Bag
Alex Garland, Warfare

Adapted Screenplay
Chloé Zhao, Maggie O'Farrell, Hamnet
Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
Rian Johnson, Wake Up Dead Man
Will Tracy, Bugonia
Scott Cooper, Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere


Original Screenplay
Ryan Coogler, Sinners
Joaquim Trier, Eskil Vogt, Sentimental Value
Zach Cregger, Weapons
Noah Baumbach, Emily Mortimer, Jay Kelly
Will Tracy, Bugonia
Benny Safdie, The Smashing Machine
Nora Garrett, After the Hunt
Ari Aster, Eddington

Cinematography
One Battle After Another
Sinners
Hamnet
After the Hunt
F1: The Movie
Frankenstein
Warfare

Best Editing
One Battle After Another
The Smashing Machine
F1: The Movie
Sinners
Jay Kelly
Hamnet
Bugonia
Warfare

Production Design
Sinners
Hamnet
Frankenstein
Bugonia
Frankenstein
Snow White
Jurassic World Rebirth

Sound Mixing + Editing
F1: The Movie
Sinners
One Battle After Another
Frankenstein
Jurassic World Rebirth
Springsteen: DMFW

Costumes Hamnet
Frankenstein
Sinners

Visual Effects
Jurassic World Rebirth
Frankenstein


Original ScoreSinners
One Battle After Another
Hamnet
After the Hunt
F1: The Movie

Original Song

Makeup and HairSinners
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Ballad of a Small Player

CastingOne Battle After Another
Sinners
Hamnet
Ballad of a Small Player
Jay Kelly
Springsteen:DMFW

Animated FeatureKpop Demon Hunters
Ne Zha 2
Lilo & Stitch
Paddington in Peru

Documentary Feature


International Feature

Live Action Short

Documentary Short

Animated Short

NextGen Oscarwatcher

Let's Talk Cinema with Jeremy Jentzen

Podcasts

2026 Oscar Predictions

Trailers